Das Verleugnen der Realität führt in die Tyrannei

…denn wenn die Wirklichkeit sich nicht so verhält, wie der Glaube es erwartet und fordert, dann muss ja jemand schuld sein. Patrik Barron fasst die Glaubenssätze zusammen, denen die westliche Eliten derzeit anhängen:

(1) Die “katastrophale” globale Erwärmung ist vom Menschen verursacht und muss gestoppt werden.

(2) Die Privilegien der Weissen (und der weisse Kolonialismus) sind schuld am Elend der Anderen

(3) Covid-19 ist eine existentielle Bedrohung der Menschheit

(4) Die Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) zeigt, das Regierungen soviel Geld ausgeben können, wie sie wollen

Die Politik, die diesen Leitlinien folgt, kollidiert jetzt schon mit der Realität, und die Divergenzen werden täglich größer. Genau deshalb ist eine offene Diskussion dieser Glaubenssätze nicht erwünscht. Wer Zweifel und Kritik äussert, wird von den Eliten und ihren Helfern nicht in der Sache, sondern persönlich angegriffen und nach Möglichkeit mundtot gemacht. Die wesentliche Frage bleibt: Wem nutzt das wirklich? – TB

DENYING REALITY LEADS TO TYRANNY AND SOCIETAL FAILURE

05/14/2021Patrick Barron

The common thread that connects failed societies, from Weimar Germany to the Soviet Union, is an almost pathological insistence on denying reality. Weimar Germany denied that masses of printed money would destroy civilized society. The Soviet Union insisted that Soviet Man would emerge spontaneously from the ashes of capitalist society. Weimar Germany spawned Nazi Germany. Nazi Germany was completely destroyed, both physically and politically, by the World War II Allies. Mercifully, the Soviet Union simply collapsed after seventy years of consuming capital to achieve the phantom of the classless society. Today both Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union are synonymous with tyranny and failure. Both nations murdered millions. Both nations no longer exist. True, Germany exists as does Russia, but I contend that both are new nations. Neither is perfect, but neither claims a political heritage to the nation that preceded it.

Pathological policy errors flowed inexorably from a skewed view of reality in both Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union. Once this view of reality was deemed to be above criticism, its champions adopted increasingly tyrannical policies. Nazi Germany’s Aryan Supremacy racial theories seemingly justified the murder of the handicapped, Gypsies, those of alternative sexual orientation, Jews, and Slavs. In the name of birthing a new Soviet Man, the Soviet Union murdered anyone who stood in the way of its program to confiscate all businesses, including small farms. When businesses and farms failed, there was no soul searching as to root causes that might lie in Marxism itself. No, the problem had to be saboteurs within society. Reality, you see, was what the Soviet Union’s Politburo said it was. As the vanguard of the proletariat, the Politburo stood outside society and saw its flaws. Those who disagreed were blind to this insight and had to be eliminated.

Chasing the Phantoms of Alternative Reality

Today the West especially is adopting policies that flow from alternative realities that, frankly, do not exist. Here I list just a few:

  1. Catastrophic global warming/climate change is caused by man and must be stopped. I prefer to qualify the term “global warming/climate change” by the adjective “catastrophic”. Is the world warming? Who knows? Is the climate changing? Probably. But neither global warming nor climate change is “catastrophic”. Yet it has become almost an article of faith that the earth is on the precipice of an environmental catastrophe, requiring ever more radical handicaps on our freedoms and the economy.
  2. White privilege in the US is responsible for crimes against minorities and disparities in wealth. This critical race theory has spawned witch hunts for secret and shadowy white supremacist groups especially in the military, which has empowered investigators to find evidence of these groups and root them out. It will be imperative that these investigators actually uncover such groups, whether they exist or not. Critical race theory is the old Marxist class struggle theory in new clothes. The Marxist class struggle theory postulated that we all are born into a class and cannot escape its prejudices. But notice that the Marxist and now the Race theorists consider that they themselves are not susceptible to the prejudices in which all the rest of us are trapped. Very convenient, eh?
  3. Covid-19 is an existential threat to human life on earth. Constitutionally guaranteed human rights may be violated with impunity. Who gets to decide all this? Why, elected officials and government bureaucrats, of course.
  4. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) explains that government need not moderate its spending. Government can always manufacture more money in order to fund new programs and pay its debts . More government spending can always prevent a drop in aggregate demand. Government debt is irrelevant, because “we owe it to ourselves”. MMT gave government elected officials exactly what they always wanted–carte blanche to spend, spend, and spend some more and not worry about justifying or prioritizing spending. As Keynes actually said, pay people to dig holes in the ground and pay others to fill them back up. What could possibly go wrong?

Champions of the above denials of reality refuse to discuss whether their view of reality is accurate. All are articles of faith and cannot be questioned. In fact, to question them is considered to be an admission of ignorance, guilt, or perfidy. One wants to destroy Mother Earth, enslave minorities, kill innocent people, and prevent all in society from enjoying unlimited prosperity. It’s the old straw man fallacy on steroids. Furthermore, resources will be expended to pursue these phantoms, and more resources will be expended to protect oneself from being caught in a witch hunt. Society will live in fear–fear of global warming, fear of being branded a racist, fear of contracting a dread disease. Unfortunately, what society does not fear is that our lifetime’s savings will be wiped out by inflation made possible by MMT.

The Basics of Reality

Contrast these phantoms with the pragmatic basics of sound economics: namely, that in order to prosper man must face the reality of human existence—primarily scarcity and uncertainty. People’s preferences must be accepted at face value. Man acts. This is an irrefutable axiom in that to deny it is to confirm its validity. His action is rational in the sense that he believes that his action will improve his condition. He understands cause and effect. He performs one act at a time. He performs the most important act first; in other words, he ranks his actions in order of importance. Performing an act means that he must sacrifice the execution of others until later; in other words, acting means giving up some other preference, at least until some later time. Man’s ordinal ranking of preferences means that the cost of an action is determined by what he eschews until later. No two men have the identical ordinal ranking of preferences; plus, the preferences cannot be assigned a cardinal value in order to compare one man’s preferences with another. Man discovers the concept of comparative advantage and adopts the division of labor in order to accomplish more. Through the market process, man adopts a universal medium of exchange (money) in order to break the tyranny of direct barter. Now man can indirectly exchange his specialized production for a universal medium of exchange in order to obtain his real wants. Man invents government as a specialized service in order to protect his person and his property at a lower cost. He invents law in order to adjudicate inevitable disputes.

All this is reality. Peaceful exchange requires social cooperation, which brings about peace and prosperity among men everywhere. As advice columnist Ann Landers used to say, Wake up and smell the coffee!

Ihr dummen deutschen Unterstützer der “Palästineser”…

…wisst nichts über die Geschichte Palästinas, weder über die Jahrhunderte andauernden Auseinandersetzungen zwischen christlichen, muslimischen und mongolischen Völkern noch über die jüngere Geschichte seit etwa 1920, als Großbritannien vom Völkerbund das Mandat bekam, dort einen jüdischen Staat zu schaffen. Ihr wollt das gar nicht wissen, denn dann müsstet ihr euch ja eurem tiefsitzenden Antisemitismus stellen. Vielleicht solltet ihr mal ein wenig in der Gründungscharta der Hamas lesen. Da könntet ihr lernen, welche Ziele die islamisch-radikalen Kräfte dieser Region haben und wie sie euch, die ihr Hamas und Konsorten politisch und mit unseren Steuergeldern unterstützt, sehen. Hamas ist da ganz offen. Ich habe mir erlaubt, einige Passagen hervorzuheben. – TB

Hamas Covenant 1988

The Covenant of the Islamic Resistance Movement

18 August 1988

In The Name Of The Most Merciful Allah

“Ye are the best nation that hath been raised up unto mankind: ye command that which is just, and ye forbid that which is unjust, and ye believe in Allah. And if they who have received the scriptures had believed, it had surely been the better for them: there are believers among them, but the greater part of them are transgressors. They shall not hurt you, unless with a slight hurt; and if they fight against you, they shall turn their backs to you, and they shall not be helped. They are smitten with vileness wheresoever they are found; unless they obtain security by entering into a treaty with Allah, and a treaty with men; and they draw on themselves indignation from Allah, and they are afflicted with poverty. This they suffer, because they disbelieved the signs of Allah, and slew the prophets unjustly; this, because they were rebellious, and transgressed.” (Al-Imran – verses 109-111). 

Israel will exist and will continue to exist until Islam will obliterate it, just as it obliterated others before it” (The Martyr, Imam Hassan al-Banna, of blessed memory). 

“The Islamic world is on fire. Each of us should pour some water, no matter how little, to extinguish whatever one can without waiting for the others.” (Sheikh Amjad al-Zahawi, of blessed memory). 

In The Name Of The Most Merciful Allah

Introduction
Praise be unto Allah, to whom we resort for help, and whose forgiveness, guidance and support we seek; Allah bless the Prophet and grant him salvation, his companions and supporters, and to those who carried out his message and adopted his laws – everlasting prayers and salvation as long as the earth and heaven will last. Hereafter: 

O People:
Out of the midst of troubles and the sea of suffering, out of the palpitations of faithful hearts and cleansed arms; out of the sense of duty, and in response to Allah’s command, the call has gone out rallying people together and making them follow the ways of Allah, leading them to have determined will in order to fulfill their role in life, to overcome all obstacles, and surmount the difficulties on the way. Constant preparation has continued and so has the readiness to sacrifice life and all that is precious for the sake of Allah. 

Thus it was that the nucleus (of the movement) was formed and started to pave its way through the tempestuous sea of hopes and expectations, of wishes and yearnings, of troubles and obstacles, of pain and challenges, both inside and outside. 

When the idea was ripe, the seed grew and the plant struck root in the soil of reality, away from passing emotions, and hateful haste. The Islamic Resistance Movement emerged to carry out its role through striving for the sake of its Creator, its arms intertwined with those of all the fighters for the liberation of Palestine. The spirits of its fighters meet with the spirits of all the fighters who have sacrificed their lives on the soil of Palestine, ever since it was conquered by the companions of the Prophet, Allah bless him and grant him salvation, and until this day. 

This Covenant of the Islamic Resistance Movement (HAMAS), clarifies its picture, reveals its identity, outlines its stand, explains its aims, speaks about its hopes, and calls for its support, adoption and joining its ranks. Our struggle against the Jews is very great and very serious. It needs all sincere efforts. It is a step that inevitably should be followed by other steps. The Movement is but one squadron that should be supported by more and more squadrons from this vast Arab and Islamic world, until the enemy is vanquished and Allah’s victory is realised. 

Thus we see them coming on the horizon “and you shall learn about it hereafter” “Allah hath written, Verily I will prevail, and my apostles: for Allah is strong and mighty.” (The Dispute – verse 21). 

“Say to them, This is my way: I invite you to Allah, by an evident demonstration; both I and he who followeth me; and, praise be unto Allah! I am not an idolator.” (Joseph – verse 107). 

Hamas (means)  strength and bravery -(according to) Al-Mua’jam al-Wasit: c1.

Definition of the Movement

Ideological Starting-Points

Article One:

The Islamic Resistance Movement: The Movement’s programme is Islam. From it, it draws its ideas, ways of thinking and understanding of the universe, life and man. It resorts to it for judgement in all its conduct, and it is inspired by it for guidance of its steps. 

The Islamic Resistance Movement’s Relation With the Moslem Brotherhood Group:

Article Two:

The Islamic Resistance Movement is one of the wings of Moslem Brotherhood in Palestine. Moslem Brotherhood Movement is a universal organization which constitutes the largest Islamic movement in modern times. It is characterised by its deep understanding, accurate comprehension and its complete embrace of all Islamic concepts of all aspects of life, culture, creed, politics, economics, education, society, justice and judgement, the spreading of Islam, education, art, information, science of the occult and conversion to Islam. 

Structure and Formation

Article Three:

The basic structure of the Islamic Resistance Movement consists of Moslems who have given their allegiance to Allah whom they truly worship, – “I have created the jinn and humans only for the purpose of worshipping” – who know their duty towards themselves, their families and country. In all that, they fear Allah and raise the banner of Jihad in the face of the oppressors, so that they would rid the land and the people of their uncleanliness, vileness and evils. 

“But we will oppose truth to vanity, and it shall confound the same; and behold, it shall vanish away.” (Prophets – verse 18).

Article Four:

The Islamic Resistance Movement welcomes every Moslem who embraces its faith, ideology, follows its programme, keeps its secrets, and wants to belong to its ranks and carry out the duty. Allah will certainly reward such one. 

Time and Place Extent of the Islamic Resistance Movement:

Article Five:

Time extent of the Islamic Resistance Movement: By adopting Islam as its way of life, the Movement goes back to the time of the birth of the Islamic message, of the righteous ancestor, for Allah is its target, the Prophet is its example and the Koran is its constitution. Its extent in place is anywhere that there are Moslems who embrace Islam as their way of life everywhere in the globe. This being so, it extends to the depth of the earth and reaches out to the heaven. 

“Dost thou not see how Allah putteth forth a parable; representing a good word, as a good tree, whose root is firmly fixed in the earth, and whose branches reach unto heaven; which bringeth forth its fruit in all seasons, by the will of its Lord? Allah propoundeth parables unto men, that they may be instructed.” (Abraham – verses 24-25).

Characteristics and Independence:

Article Six:

The Islamic Resistance Movement is a distinguished Palestinian movement, whose allegiance is to Allah, and whose way of life is Islam. It strives to raise the banner of Allah over every inch of Palestine, for under the wing of Islam followers of all religions can coexist in security and safety where their lives, possessions and rights are concerned. In the absence of Islam, strife will be rife, oppression spreads, evil prevails and schisms and wars will break out. 

How excellent was the Moslem poet, Mohamed Ikbal, when he wrote: 

“If faith is lost, there is no security and there is no life for him who does not adhere to religion. He who accepts life without religion, has taken annihilation as his companion for life.”

The Universality of the Islamic Resistance Movement:

Article Seven:

As a result of the fact that those Moslems who adhere to the ways of the Islamic Resistance Movement spread all over the world, rally support for it and its stands, strive towards enhancing its struggle, the Movement is a universal one. It is well-equipped for that because of the clarity of its ideology, the nobility of its aim and the loftiness of its objectives. 

On this basis, the Movement should be viewed and evaluated, and its role be recognised. He who denies its right, evades supporting it and turns a blind eye to facts, whether intentionally or unintentionally, would awaken to see that events have overtaken him and with no logic to justify his attitude. One should certainly learn from past examples. 

The injustice of next-of-kin is harder to bear than the smite of the Indian sword. 

“We have also sent down unto thee the book of the Koran with truth, confirming that scripture which was revealed before it; and preserving the same safe from corruption. Judge therefore between them according to that which Allah hath revealed; and follow not their desires, by swerving from the truth which hath come unto thee. Unto every of you have we given a law, and an open path; and if Allah had pleased, he had surely made you one people; but he hath thought it fit to give you different laws, that he might try you in that which he hath given you respectively. Therefore strive to excel each other in good works; unto Allah shall ye all return, and then will he declare unto you that concerning which ye have disagreed.” (The Table, verse 48).

The Islamic Resistance Movement is one of the links in the chain of the struggle against the Zionist invaders. It goes back to 1939, to the emergence of the martyr Izz al-Din al Kissam and his brethren the fighters, members of Moslem Brotherhood. It goes on to reach out and become one with another chain that includes the struggle of the Palestinians and Moslem Brotherhood in the 1948 war and the Jihad operations of the Moslem Brotherhood in 1968 and after. 

Moreover, if the links have been distant from each other and if obstacles, placed by those who are the lackeys of Zionism in the way of the fighters obstructed the continuation of the struggle, the Islamic Resistance Movement aspires to the realisation of Allah’s promise, no matter how long that should take. The Prophet, Allah bless him and grant him salvation, has said: 

“The Day of Judgement will not come about until Moslems fight the Jews (killing the Jews), when the Jew will hide behind stones and trees. The stones and trees will say O Moslems, O Abdulla, there is a Jew behind me, come and kill him. Only the Gharkad tree, (evidently a certain kind of tree) would not do that because it is one of the trees of the Jews.” (related by al-Bukhari and Moslem).

The Slogan of the Islamic Resistance Movement:

Article Eight:

Allah is its target, the Prophet is its model, the Koran its constitution: Jihad is its path and death for the sake of Allah is the loftiest of its wishes

Objectives

Incentives and Objectives: 

Article Nine:

The Islamic Resistance Movement found itself at a time when Islam has disappeared from life. Thus rules shook, concepts were upset, values changed and evil people took control, oppression and darkness prevailed, cowards became like tigers: homelands were usurped, people were scattered and were caused to wander all over the world, the state of justice disappeared and the state of falsehood replaced it. Nothing remained in its right place. Thus, when Islam is absent from the arena, everything changes. From this state of affairs the incentives are drawn. 

As for the objectives: They are the fighting against the false, defeating it and vanquishing it so that justice could prevail, homelands be retrieved and from its mosques would the voice of the mu’azen emerge declaring the establishment of the state of Islam, so that people and things would return each to their right places and Allah is our helper. 

“…and if Allah had not prevented men, the one by the other, verily the earth had been corrupted: but Allah is beneficient towards his creatures.” (The Cow – verse 251).

Article Ten:

As the Islamic Resistance Movement paves its way, it will back the oppressed and support the wronged with all its might. It will spare no effort to bring about justice and defeat injustice, in word and deed, in this place and everywhere it can reach and have influence therein. 

Strategies and Methods

Strategies of the Islamic Resistance Movement: Palestine Is Islamic aqf:

Article Eleven:

The Islamic Resistance Movement believes that the land of Palestine is an Islamic Waqf consecrated for future Moslem generations until Judgement Day. It, or any part of it, should not be squandered: it, or any part of it, should not be given up. Neither a single Arab country nor all Arab countries, neither any king or president, nor all the kings and presidents, neither any organization nor all of them, be they Palestinian or Arab, possess the right to do that. Palestine is an Islamic Waqf land consecrated for Moslem generations until Judgement Day. This being so, who could claim to have the right to represent Moslem generations till Judgement Day? 

This is the law governing the land of Palestine in the Islamic Sharia (law) and the same goes for any land the Moslems have conquered by force, because during the times of (Islamic) conquests, the Moslems consecrated these lands to Moslem generations till the Day of Judgement. 

It happened like this: When the leaders of the Islamic armies conquered Syria and Iraq, they sent to the Caliph of the Moslems, Umar bin-el-Khatab, asking for his advice concerning the conquered land – whether they should divide it among the soldiers, or leave it for its owners, or what? After consultations and discussions between the Caliph of the Moslems, Omar bin-el-Khatab and companions of the Prophet, Allah bless him and grant him salvation, it was decided that the land should be left with its owners who could benefit by its fruit. As for the real ownership of the land and the land itself, it should be consecrated for Moslem generations till Judgement Day. Those who are on the land, are there only to benefit from its fruit. This Waqf remains as long as earth and heaven remain. Any procedure in contradiction to Islamic Sharia, where Palestine is concerned, is null and void. 

“Verily, this is a certain truth. Wherefore praise the name of thy Lord, the great Allah.” (The Inevitable – verse 95).

Homeland and Nationalism from the Point of View of the Islamic Resistance Movement in Palestine:

Article Twelve:

Nationalism, from the point of view of the Islamic Resistance Movement, is part of the religious creed. Nothing in nationalism is more significant or deeper than in the case when an enemy should tread Moslem land. Resisting and quelling the enemy become the individual duty of every Moslem, male or female. A woman can go out to fight the enemy without her husband’s permission, and so does the slave: without his master’s permission. 

Nothing of the sort is to be found in any other regime. This is an undisputed fact. If other nationalist movements are connected with materialistic, human or regional causes, nationalism of the Islamic Resistance Movement has all these elements as well as the more important elements that give it soul and life. It is connected to the source of spirit and the granter of life, hoisting in the sky of the homeland the heavenly banner that joins earth and heaven with a strong bond. 

If Moses comes and throws his staff, both witch and magic are annulled. 

“Now is the right direction manifestly distinguished from deceit: whoever therefore shall deny Tagut, and believe in Allah, he shall surely take hold with a strong handle, which shall not be broken; Allah is he who heareth and seeth.” (The Cow – Verse 256).

Peaceful Solutions, Initiatives and International Conferences:

Article Thirteen:

Initiatives, and so-called peaceful solutions and international conferences, are in contradiction to the principles of the Islamic Resistance Movement. Abusing any part of Palestine is abuse directed against part of religion. Nationalism of the Islamic Resistance Movement is part of its religion. Its members have been fed on that. For the sake of hoisting the banner of Allah over their homeland they fight. “Allah will be prominent, but most people do not know.” 

Now and then the call goes out for the convening of an international conference to look for ways of solving the (Palestinian) question. Some accept, others reject the idea, for this or other reason, with one stipulation or more for consent to convening the conference and participating in it. Knowing the parties constituting the conference, their past and present attitudes towards Moslem problems, the Islamic Resistance Movement does not consider these conferences capable of realising the demands, restoring the rights or doing justice to the oppressed. These conferences are only ways of setting the infidels in the land of the Moslems as arbitraters. When did the infidels do justice to the believers? 

“But the Jews will not be pleased with thee, neither the Christians, until thou follow their religion; say, The direction of Allah is the true direction. And verily if thou follow their desires, after the knowledge which hath been given thee, thou shalt find no patron or protector against Allah.” (The Cow – verse 120).

There is no solution for the Palestinian question except through Jihad. Initiatives, proposals and international conferences are all a waste of time and vain endeavors. The Palestinian people know better than to consent to having their future, rights and fate toyed with. As in said in the honourable Hadith: 

“The people of Syria are Allah’s lash in His land. He wreaks His vengeance through them against whomsoever He wishes among His slaves It is unthinkable that those who are double-faced among them should prosper over the faithful. They will certainly die out of grief and desperation.”

The Three Circles:

Article Fourteen:

The question of the liberation of Palestine is bound to three circles: the Palestinian circle, the Arab circle and the Islamic circle. Each of these circles has its role in the struggle against Zionism. Each has its duties, and it is a horrible mistake and a sign of deep ignorance to overlook any of these circles. Palestine is an Islamic land which has the first of the two kiblahs (direction to which Moslems turn in praying), the third of the holy (Islamic) sanctuaries, and the point of departure for Mohamed’s midnight journey to the seven heavens (i.e. Jerusalem). 

“Praise be unto him who transported his servant by night, from the sacred temple of Mecca to the farther temple of Jerusalem, the circuit of which we have blessed, that we might show him some of our signs; for Allah is he who heareth, and seeth.” (The Night-Journey – verse 1).

Since this is the case, liberation of Palestine is then an individual duty for very Moslem wherever he may be. On this basis, the problem should be viewed. This should be realised by every Moslem. 

The day the problem is dealt with on this basis, when the three circles mobilize their capabilities, the present state of affairs will change and the day of liberation will come nearer. 

“Verily ye are stronger than they, by reason of the terror cast into their breasts from Allah. This, because they are not people of prudence.” (The Emigration – verse 13).

The Jihad for the Liberation of Palestine is an Individual Duty:

Article Fifteen:

The day that enemies usurp part of Moslem land, Jihad becomes the individual duty of every Moslem. In face of the Jews’ usurpation of Palestine, it is compulsory that the banner of Jihad be raised. To do this requires the diffusion of Islamic consciousness among the masses, both on the regional, Arab and Islamic levels. It is necessary to instill the spirit of Jihad in the heart of the nation so that they would confront the enemies and join the ranks of the fighters. 

It is necessary that scientists, educators and teachers, information and media people, as well as the educated masses, especially the youth and sheikhs of the Islamic movements, should take part in the operation of awakening (the masses). It is important that basic changes be made in the school curriculum, to cleanse it of the traces of ideological invasion that affected it as a result of the orientalists and missionaries who infiltrated the region following the defeat of the Crusaders at the hands of Salah el-Din (Saladin). The Crusaders realised that it was impossible to defeat the Moslems without first having ideological invasion pave the way by upsetting their thoughts, disfiguring their heritage and violating their ideals. Only then could they invade with soldiers. This, in its turn, paved the way for the imperialistic invasion that made Allenby declare on entering Jerusalem: “Only now have the Crusades ended.” General Guru stood at Salah el-Din’s grave and said: “We have returned, O Salah el-Din.” Imperialism has helped towards the strengthening of ideological invasion, deepening, and still does, its roots. All this has paved the way towards the loss of Palestine. 

It is necessary to instill in the minds of the Moslem generations that the Palestinian problem is a religious problem, and should be dealt with on this basis. Palestine contains Islamic holy sites. In it there is al- Aqsa Mosque which is bound to the great Mosque in Mecca in an inseparable bond as long as heaven and earth speak of Isra` (Mohammed’s midnight journey to the seven heavens) and Mi’raj (Mohammed’s ascension to the seven heavens from Jerusalem). 

“The bond of one day for the sake of Allah is better than the world and whatever there is on it. The place of one’s whip in Paradise is far better than the world and whatever there is on it. A worshipper’s going and coming in the service of Allah is better than the world and whatever there is on it.” (As related by al-Bukhari, Moslem, al-Tarmdhi and Ibn Maja).

“I swear by the holder of Mohammed’s soul that I would like to invade and be killed for the sake of Allah, then invade and be killed, and then invade again and be killed.” (As related by al-Bukhari and Moslem).

The Education of the Generations:

Article Sixteen:

It is necessary to follow Islamic orientation in educating the Islamic generations in our region by teaching the religious duties, comprehensive study of the Koran, the study of the Prophet’s Sunna (his sayings and doings), and learning about Islamic history and heritage from their authentic sources. This should be done by specialised and learned people, using a curriculum that would healthily form the thoughts and faith of the Moslem student. Side by side with this, a comprehensive study of the enemy, his human and financial capabilities, learning about his points of weakness and strength, and getting to know the forces supporting and helping him, should also be included. Also, it is important to be acquainted with the current events, to follow what is new and to study the analysis and commentaries made of these events. Planning for the present and future, studying every trend appearing, is a must so that the fighting Moslem would live knowing his aim, objective and his way in the midst of what is going on around him. 

“O my son, verily every matter, whether good or bad, though it be the weight of a grain of mustard-seed, and be hidden in a rock, or in the heavens, or in the earth, Allah will bring the same to light; for Allah is clear-sighted and knowing. O my son, be constant at prayer, and command that which is just, and forbid that which is evil: and be patient under the afflictions which shall befall thee; for this is a duty absolutely incumbent on all men. Distort not thy face out of contempt to men, neither walk in the earth with insolence; for Allah loveth no arrogant, vain-glorious person.” (Lokman – verses 16-18).

The Role of the Moslem Woman:

Article Seventeen:

The Moslem woman has a role no less important than that of the moslem man in the battle of liberation. She is the maker of men. Her role in guiding and educating the new generations is great. The enemies have realised the importance of her role. They consider that if they are able to direct and bring her up they way they wish, far from Islam, they would have won the battle. That is why you find them giving these attempts constant attention through information campaigns, films, and the school curriculum, using for that purpose their lackeys who are infiltrated through Zionist organizations under various names and shapes, such as Freemasons, Rotary Clubs, espionage groups and others, which are all nothing more than cells of subversion and saboteurs. These organizations have ample resources that enable them to play their role in societies for the purpose of achieving the Zionist targets and to deepen the concepts that would serve the enemy. These organizations operate in the absence of Islam and its estrangement among its people. The Islamic peoples should perform their role in confronting the conspiracies of these saboteurs. The day Islam is in control of guiding the affairs of life, these organizations, hostile to humanity and Islam, will be obliterated. 

Article Eighteen:

Woman in the home of the fighting family, whether she is a mother or a sister, plays the most important role in looking after the family, rearing the children and embuing them with moral values and thoughts derived from Islam. She has to teach them to perform the religious duties in preparation for the role of fighting awaiting them. That is why it is necessary to pay great attention to schools and the curriculum followed in educating Moslem girls, so that they would grow up to be good mothers, aware of their role in the battle of liberation. 

She has to be of sufficient knowledge and understanding where the performance of housekeeping matters are concerned, because economy and avoidance of waste of the family budget, is one of the requirements for the ability to continue moving forward in the difficult conditions surrounding us. She should put before her eyes the fact that the money available to her is just like blood which should never flow except through the veins so that both children and grown-ups could continue to live. 

“Verily, the Moslems of either sex, and the true believers of either sex, and the devout men, and the devout women, and the men of veracity, and the women of veracity, and the patient men, and the patient women, and the humble men, and the humble women, and the alms-givers of either sex who remember Allah frequently; for them hath Allah prepared forgiveness and a great reward.” (The Confederates – verse 25).

The Role of Islamic Art in the Battle of Liberation:

Article Nineteen:

Art has regulations and measures by which it can be determined whether it is Islamic or pre-Islamic (Jahili) art. The issues of Islamic liberation are in need of Islamic art that would take the spirit high, without raising one side of human nature above the other, but rather raise all of them harmoniously an in equilibrium. 

Man is a unique and wonderful creature, made out of a handful of clay and a breath from Allah. Islamic art addresses man on this basis, while pre-Islamic art addresses the body giving preference to the clay component in it. 

The book, the article, the bulletin, the sermon, the thesis, the popular poem, the poetic ode, the song, the play and others, contain the characteristics of Islamic art, then these are among the requirements of ideological mobilization, renewed food for the journey and recreation for the soul. The road is long and suffering is plenty. The soul will be bored, but Islamic art renews the energies, resurrects the movement, arousing in them lofty meanings and proper conduct. “Nothing can improve the self if it is in retreat except shifting from one mood to another.” 

All this is utterly serious and no jest, for those who are fighters do not jest. 

Social Mutual Responsibility:

Article Twenty:

Moslem society is a mutually responsible society. The Prophet, prayers and greetings be unto him, said: “Blessed are the generous, whether they were in town or on a journey, who have collected all that they had and shared it equally among themselves.” 

The Islamic spirit is what should prevail in every Moslem society. The society that confronts a vicious enemy which acts in a way similar to Nazism, making no differentiation between man and woman, between children and old people – such a society is entitled to this Islamic spirit. Our enemy relies on the methods of collective punishment. He has deprived people of their homeland and properties, pursued them in their places of exile and gathering, breaking bones, shooting at women, children and old people, with or without a reason. The enemy has opened detention camps where thousands and thousands of people are thrown and kept under sub-human conditions. Added to this, are the demolition of houses, rendering children orphans, meting cruel sentences against thousands of young people, and causing them to spend the best years of their lives in the dungeons of prisons. 

In their Nazi treatment, the Jews made no exception for women or children. Their policy of striking fear in the heart is meant for all. They attack people where their breadwinning is concerned, extorting their money and threatening their honour. They deal with people as if they were the worst war criminals. Deportation from the homeland is a kind of murder. 

To counter these deeds, it is necessary that social mutual responsibility should prevail among the people. The enemy should be faced by the people as a single body which if one member of it should complain, the rest of the body would respond by feeling the same pains. 

Article Twenty-One:

Mutual social responsibility means extending assistance, financial or moral, to all those who are in need and joining in the execution of some of the work. Members of the Islamic Resistance Movement should consider the interests of the masses as their own personal interests. They must spare no effort in achieving and preserving them. They must prevent any foul play with the future of the upcoming generations and anything that could cause loss to society. The masses are part of them and they are part of the masses. Their strength is theirs, and their future is theirs. Members of the Islamic Resistance Movement should share the people’s joy and grief, adopt the demands of the public and whatever means by which they could be realised. The day that such a spirit prevails, brotherliness would deepen, cooperation, sympathy and unity will be enhanced and the ranks will be solidified to confront the enemies. 

Supportive Forces Behind the Enemy: 

Article Twenty-Two:

For a long time, the enemies have been planning, skillfully and with precision, for the achievement of what they have attained. They took into consideration the causes affecting the current of events. They strived to amass great and substantive material wealth which they devoted to the realisation of their dream. With their money, they took control of the world media, news agencies, the press, publishing houses, broadcasting stations, and others. With their money they stirred revolutions in various parts of the world with the purpose of achieving their interests and reaping the fruit therein. They were behind the French Revolution, the Communist revolution and most of the revolutions we heard and hear about, here and there. With their money they formed secret societies, such as Freemasons, Rotary Clubs, the Lions and others in different parts of the world for the purpose of sabotaging societies and achieving Zionist interests. With their money they were able to control imperialistic countries and instigate them to colonize many countries in order to enable them to exploit their resources and spread corruption there. 

You may speak as much as you want about regional and world wars. They were behind World War I, when they were able to destroy the Islamic Caliphate, making financial gains and controlling resources. They obtained the Balfour Declaration, formed the League of Nations through which they could rule the world. They were behind World War II, through which they made huge financial gains by trading in armaments, and paved the way for the establishment of their state. It was they who instigated the replacement of the League of Nations with the United Nations and the Security Council to enable them to rule the world through them. There is no war going on anywhere, without having their finger in it. 

“So often as they shall kindle a fire for war, Allah shall extinguish it; and they shall set their minds to act corruptly in the earth, but Allah loveth not the corrupt doers.” (The Table – verse 64).

The imperialistic forces in the Capitalist West and Communist East, support the enemy with all their might, in money and in men. These forces take turns in doing that. The day Islam appears, the forces of infidelity would unite to challenge it, for the infidels are of one nation. 

“O true believers, contract not an intimate friendship with any besides yourselves: they will not fail to corrupt you. They wish for that which may cause you to perish: their hatred hath already appeared from out of their mouths; but what their breasts conceal is yet more inveterate. We have already shown you signs of their ill will towards you, if ye understand.” (The Family of Imran – verse 118).

It is not in vain that the verse is ended with Allah’s words “if ye understand.” 

Our Attitudes Towards:

A. Islamic Movements:

Article Twenty-Three:

The Islamic Resistance Movement views other Islamic movements with respect and appreciation. If it were at variance with them on one point or opinion, it is in agreement with them on other points and understandings. It considers these movements, if they reveal good intentions and dedication to Allah, that they fall into the category of those who are trying hard since they act within the Islamic circle. Each active person has his share. 

The Islamic Resistance Movement considers all these movements as a fund for itself. It prays to Allah for guidance and directions for all and it spares no effort to keep the banner of unity raised, ever striving for its realisation in accordance with the Koran and the Prophet’s directives. 

“And cleave all of you unto the covenant of Allah, and depart not from it, and remember the favour of Allah towards you: since ye were enemies, and he reconciled your hearts, and ye became companions and brethren by his favour: and ye were on the brink of a pit of fire, and he delivered you thence. Allah declareth unto you his signs, that ye may be directed.” (The Family of Imran – Verse 102).

Article Twenty-Four:

The Islamic Resistance Movement does not allow slandering or speaking ill of individuals or groups, for the believer does not indulge in such malpractices. It is necessary to differentiate between this behaviour and the stands taken by certain individuals and groups. Whenever those stands are erroneous, the Islamic Resistance Movement preserves the right to expound the error and to warn against it. It will strive to show the right path and to judge the case in question with objectivity. Wise conduct is indeed the target of the believer who follows it wherever he discerns it. 

“Allah loveth not the speaking ill of anyone in public, unless he who is injured call for assistance; and Allah heareth and knoweth: whether ye publish a good action, or conceal it, or forgive evil, verily Allah is gracious and powerful.” (Women – verses 147-148).

B. Nationalist Movements in the Palestinian Arena:

Article Twenty-Five:

The Islamic Resistance Movement respects these movements and appreciates their circumstances and the conditions surrounding and affecting them. It encourages them as long as they do not give their allegiance to the Communist East or the Crusading West. It confirms to all those who are integrated in it, or sympathetic towards it, that the Islamic Resistance Movement is a fighting movement that has a moral and enlightened look of life and the way it should cooperate with the other (movements). It detests opportunism and desires only the good of people, individuals and groups alike. It does not seek material gains, personal fame, nor does it look for a reward from others. It works with its own resources and whatever is at its disposal “and prepare for them whatever force you can”, for the fulfilment of the duty, and the earning of Allah’s favour. It has no other desire than that. 

The Movement assures all the nationalist trends operating in the Palestinian arena for the liberation of Palestine, that it is there for their support and assistance. It will never be more than that, both in words and deeds, now and in the future. It is there to bring together and not to divide, to preserve and not to squander, to unify and not to throw asunder. It evaluates every good word, sincere effort and good offices. It closes the door in the face of side disagreements and does not lend an ear to rumours and slanders, while at the same time fully realising the right for self-defence. 

Anything contrary or contradictory to these trends, is a lie disseminated by enemies or their lackeys for the purpose of sowing confusion, disrupting the ranks and occupy them with side issues. 

“O true believers, if a wicked man come unto you with a tale, inquire strictly into the truth thereof; lest ye hurt people through ignorance, and afterwards repent of what ye have done.” (The Inner Apartments – verse 6).

Article Twenty-Six:

In viewing the Palestinian nationalist movements that give allegiance neither to the East nor the West, in this positive way, the Islamic Resistance Movement does not refrain from discussing new situations on the regional or international levels where the Palestinian question is concerned. It does that in such an objective manner revealing the extent of how much it is in harmony or contradiction with the national interests in the light of the Islamic point of view. 

C. The Palestinian Liberation Organization:

Article Twenty-Seven:

The Palestinian Liberation Organization is the closest to the heart of the Islamic Resistance Movement. It contains the father and the brother, the next of kin and the friend. The Moslem does not estrange himself from his father, brother, next of kin or friend. Our homeland is one, our situation is one, our fate is one and the enemy is a joint enemy to all of us. 

Because of the situations surrounding the formation of the Organization, of the ideological confusion prevailing in the Arab world as a result of the ideological invasion under whose influence the Arab world has fallen since the defeat of the Crusaders and which was, and still is, intensified through orientalists, missionaries and imperialists, the Organization adopted the idea of the secular state. And that it how we view it. 

Secularism completely contradicts religious ideology. Attitudes, conduct and decisions stem from ideologies. 

That is why, with all our appreciation for The Palestinian Liberation Organization – and what it can develop into – and without belittling its role in the Arab-Israeli conflict, we are unable to exchange the present or future Islamic Palestine with the secular idea. The Islamic nature of Palestine is part of our religion and whoever takes his religion lightly is a loser. 

“Who will be adverse to the religion of Abraham, but he whose mind is infatuated? (The Cow – verse 130).

The day The Palestinian Liberation Organization adopts Islam as its way of life, we will become its soldiers, and fuel for its fire that will burn the enemies. 

Until such a day, and we pray to Allah that it will be soon, the Islamic Resistance Movement’s stand towards the PLO is that of the son towards his father, the brother towards his brother, and the relative to relative, suffers his pain and supports him in confronting the enemies, wishing him to be wise and well-guided. 

“Stand by your brother, for he who is brotherless is like the fighter who goes to battle without arms. One’s cousin is the wing one flies with – could the bird fly without wings?”

D. Arab and Islamic Countries:

Article Twenty-Eight:

The Zionist invasion is a vicious invasion. It does not refrain from resorting to all methods, using all evil and contemptible ways to achieve its end. It relies greatly in its infiltration and espionage operations on the secret organizations it gave rise to, such as the Freemasons, The Rotary and Lions clubs, and other sabotage groups. All these organizations, whether secret or open, work in the interest of Zionism and according to its instructions. They aim at undermining societies, destroying values, corrupting consciences, deteriorating character and annihilating Islam. It is behind the drug trade and alcoholism in all its kinds so as to facilitate its control and expansion. 

Arab countries surrounding Israel are asked to open their borders before the fighters from among the Arab and Islamic nations so that they could consolidate their efforts with those of their Moslem brethren in Palestine. 

As for the other Arab and Islamic countries, they are asked to facilitate the movement of the fighters from and to it, and this is the least thing they could do. 

We should not forget to remind every Moslem that when the Jews conquered the Holy City in 1967, they stood on the threshold of the Aqsa Mosque and proclaimed that “Mohammed is dead, and his descendants are all women.” 

Israel, Judaism and Jews challenge Islam and the Moslem people. “May the cowards never sleep.” 

E. Nationalist and Religious Groupings, Institutions, Intellectuals, The Arab and Islamic World:

The Islamic Resistance Movement hopes that all these groupings will side with it in all spheres, would support it, adopt its stand and solidify its activities and moves, work towards rallying support for it so that the Islamic people will be a base and a stay for it, supplying it with strategic depth an all human material and informative spheres, in time and in place. This should be done through the convening of solidarity conferences, the issuing of explanatory bulletins, favourable articles and booklets, enlightening the masses regarding the Palestinian issue, clarifying what confronts it and the conspiracies woven around it. They should mobilize the Islamic nations, ideologically, educationally and culturally, so that these peoples would be equipped to perform their role in the decisive battle of liberation, just as they did when they vanquished the Crusaders and the Tatars and saved human civilization. Indeed, that is not difficult for Allah. 

“Allah hath written, Verily I will prevail, and my apostles: for Allah is strong and mighty.” (The Dispute – verse 21).

Article Thirty:

Writers, intellectuals, media people, orators, educaters and teachers, and all the various sectors in the Arab and Islamic world – all of them are called upon to perform their role, and to fulfill their duty, because of the ferocity of the Zionist offensive and the Zionist influence in many countries exercised through financial and media control, as well as the consequences that all this lead to in the greater part of the world. 

Jihad is not confined to the carrying of arms and the confrontation of the enemy. The effective word, the good article, the useful book, support and solidarity – together with the presence of sincere purpose for the hoisting of Allah’s banner higher and higher – all these are elements of the Jihad for Allah’s sake

“Whosoever mobilises a fighter for the sake of Allah is himself a fighter. Whosoever supports the relatives of a fighter, he himself is a fighter.” (related by al-Bukhari, Moslem, Abu-Dawood and al-Tarmadhi).

F. Followers of Other Religions: The Islamic Resistance Movement Is A Humanistic Movement:

Article Thirty-One:

The Islamic Resistance Movement is a humanistic movement. It takes care of human rights and is guided by Islamic tolerance when dealing with the followers of other religions. It does not antagonize anyone of them except if it is antagonized by it or stands in its way to hamper its moves and waste its efforts. 

Under the wing of Islam, it is possible for the followers of the three religions – Islam, Christianity and Judaism – to coexist in peace and quiet with each other. Peace and quiet would not be possible except under the wing of Islam. Past and present history are the best witness to that. 

It is the duty of the followers of other religions to stop disputing the sovereignty of Islam in this region, because the day these followers should take over there will be nothing but carnage, displacement and terror. Everyone of them is at variance with his fellow-religionists, not to speak about followers of other religionists. Past and present history are full of examples to prove this fact. 

“They will not fight against you in a body, except in fenced towns, or from behind walls. Their strength in war among themselves is great: thou thinkest them to be united; but their hearts are divided. This, because they are people who do not understand.” (The Emigration – verse 14).

Islam confers upon everyone his legitimate rights. Islam prevents the incursion on other people’s rights. The Zionist Nazi activities against our people will not last for long. “For the state of injustice lasts but one day, while the state of justice lasts till Doomsday.” 

“As to those who have not borne arms against you on account of religion, nor turned you out of your dwellings, Allah forbiddeth you not to deal kindly with them, and to behave justly towards them; for Allah loveth those who act justly.” (The Tried – verse 8).

The Attempt to Isolate the Palestinian People:

Article Thirty-Two:

World Zionism, together with imperialistic powers, try through a studied plan and an intelligent strategy to remove one Arab state after another from the circle of struggle against Zionism, in order to have it finally face the Palestinian people only. Egypt was, to a great extent, removed from the circle of the struggle, through the treacherous Camp David Agreement. They are trying to draw other Arab countries into similar agreements and to bring them outside the circle of struggle. 

The Islamic Resistance Movement calls on Arab and Islamic nations to take up the line of serious and persevering action to prevent the success of this horrendous plan, to warn the people of the danger eminating from leaving the circle of struggle against Zionism. Today it is Palestine, tomorrow it will be one country or another. The Zionist plan is limitless. After Palestine, the Zionists aspire to expand from the Nile to the Euphrates. When they will have digested the region they overtook, they will aspire to further expansion, and so on. Their plan is embodied in the “Protocols of the Elders of Zion”, and their present conduct is the best proof of what we are saying. 

Leaving the circle of struggle with Zionism is high treason, and cursed be he who does that. “for whoso shall turn his back unto them on that day, unless he turneth aside to fight, or retreateth to another party of the faithful, shall draw on himself the indignation of Allah, and his abode shall be hell; an ill journey shall it be thither.” (The Spoils – verse 16). There is no way out except by concentrating all powers and energies to face this Nazi, vicious Tatar invasion. The alternative is loss of one’s country, the dispersion of citizens, the spread of vice on earth and the destruction of religious values. Let every person know that he is responsible before Allah, for “the doer of the slightest good deed is rewarded in like, and the does of the slightest evil deed is also rewarded in like.” 

The Islamic Resistance Movement consider itself to be the spearhead of the circle of struggle with world Zionism and a step on the road. The Movement adds its efforts to the efforts of all those who are active in the Palestinian arena. Arab and Islamic Peoples should augment by further steps on their part; Islamic groupings all over the Arab world should also do the same, since all of these are the best-equipped for the future role in the fight with the warmongering Jews. 

“..and we have put enmity and hatred between them, until the day of resurrection. So often as they shall kindle a fire of war, Allah shall extinguish it; and they shall set their minds to act corruptly in the earth, but Allah loveth not the corrupt doers.” (The Table – verse 64).

Article Thirty-Three:

The Islamic Resistance Movement, being based on the common coordinated and interdependent conceptions of the laws of the universe, and flowing in the stream of destiny in confronting and fighting the enemies in defence of the Moslems and Islamic civilization and sacred sites, the first among which is the Aqsa Mosque, urges the Arab and Islamic peoples, their governments, popular and official groupings, to fear Allah where their view of the Islamic Resistance Movement and their dealings with it are concerned. They should back and support it, as Allah wants them to, extending to it more and more funds till Allah’s purpose is achieved when ranks will close up, fighters join other fighters and masses everywhere in the Islamic world will come forward in response to the call of duty while loudly proclaiming: Hail to Jihad. Their cry will reach the heavens and will go on being resounded until liberation is achieved, the invaders vanquished and Allah’s victory comes about. 

“And Allah will certainly assist him who shall be on his side: for Allah is strong and mighty.” (The Pilgrimage – verse 40).

The Testimony of History

Across History in Confronting the Invaders:

Article Thirty-Four:

Palestine is the navel of the globe and the crossroad of the continents. Since the dawn of history, it has been the target of expansionists. The Prophet, Allah bless him and grant him salvation, had himself pointed to this fact in the noble Hadith in which he called on his honourable companion, Ma’adh ben-Jabal, saying: O Ma’ath, Allah throw open before you, when I am gone, Syria, from Al-Arish to the Euphrates. Its men, women and slaves will stay firmly there till the Day of Judgement. Whoever of you should choose one of the Syrian shores, or the Holy Land, he will be in constant struggle till the Day of Judgement.” 

Expansionists have more than once put their eye on Palestine which they attacked with their armies to fulfill their designs on it. Thus it was that the Crusaders came with their armies, bringing with them their creed and carrying their Cross. They were able to defeat the Moslems for a while, but the Moslems were able to retrieve the land only when they stood under the wing of their religious banner, united their word, hallowed the name of Allah and surged out fighting under the leadership of Salah ed-Din al-Ayyubi. They fought for almost twenty years and at the end the Crusaders were defeated and Palestine was liberated. 

“Say unto those who believe not, Ye shall be overcome, and thrown together into hell; an unhappy couch it shall be.” (The Family of Imran – verse 12).

This is the only way to liberate Palestine. There is no doubt about the testimony of history. It is one of the laws of the universe and one of the rules of existence. Nothing can overcome iron except iron. Their false futile creed can only be defeated by the righteous Islamic creed. A creed could not be fought except by a creed, and in the last analysis, victory is for the just, for justice is certainly victorious. 

“Our word hath formerly been given unto our servants the apostles; that they should certainly be assisted against the infidels, and that our armies should surely be the conquerors.” (Those Who Rank Themselves – verses 171-172).

Article Thirty-Five:

The Islamic Resistance Movement views seriously the defeat of the Crusaders at the hands of Salah ed-Din al-Ayyubi and the rescuing of Palestine from their hands, as well as the defeat of the Tatars at Ein Galot, breaking their power at the hands of Qataz and Al-Dhaher Bivers and saving the Arab world from the Tatar onslaught which aimed at the destruction of every meaning of human civilization. The Movement draws lessons and examples from all this. The present Zionist onslaught has also been preceded by Crusading raids from the West and other Tatar raids from the East. Just as the Moslems faced those raids and planned fighting and defeating them, they should be able to confront the Zionist invasion and defeat it. This is indeed no problem for the Almighty Allah, provided that the intentions are pure, the determination is true and that Moslems have benefited from past experiences, rid themselves of the effects of ideological invasion and followed the customs of their ancestors. 

The Islamic Resistance Movement is Composed of Soldiers:

Article Thirty-Six:

While paving its way, the Islamic Resistance Movement, emphasizes time and again to all the sons of our people, to the Arab and Islamic nations, that it does not seek personal fame, material gain, or social prominence. It does not aim to compete against any one from among our people, or take his place. Nothing of the sort at all. It will not act against any of the sons of Moslems or those who are peaceful towards it from among non-Moslems, be they here or anywhere else. It will only serve as a support for all groupings and organizations operating against the Zionist enemy and its lackeys. 

The Islamic Resistance Movement adopts Islam as its way of life. Islam is its creed and religion. Whoever takes Islam as his way of life, be it an organization, a grouping, a country or any other body, the Islamic Resistance Movement considers itself as their soldiers and nothing more. 

We ask Allah to show us the right course, to make us an example to others and to judge between us and our people with truth. “O Lord, do thou judge between us and our nation with truth; for thou art the best judge.” (Al Araf – Verse 89).

The last of our prayers will be praise to Allah, the Master of the Universe.

Stand der Forschung: Ivermectin reduziert Covid-Sterberisiko um 60%

Weder Pharmaindustrie noch Politik wollen sich mit Ivermectin bescäftigen, obwohl sich die Informationen häufen, dass dieses Medikament bei schweren Corona-Erkrankungen hochwirksam ist, wenn rechtzeitig und richtig eingesetzt. Dass die Pharmaindustrie diese Befunde der wenigen korrekt durchgeführten Studien nicht mag und auch keine umfangreicheren Studien initiiert, kann ich verstehen: Bei den Impfstoffen geht es um Umsätze in Milliardenhöhe, während Ivermectin ein preiswertes Generikum ist. Was die politisch Mächtigen antreibt, verschliesst sich mir. Die Sorge um die Gesundheit der Bürger kann es nicht sein. Der folgende Artikel des Arztes Sebastian Rushworth fasst den Stand der Forschung zusammen.- TB

Diese Tabelle ist die entscheidende, ich stelle sie noch einmal voran. Die “Risk Ratio” zeigt an, wie hoch bei der Behandlung mit Ivermectin das Risiko zu Sterben ist im Vergleich zur Kontrollgruppe, deren Risiko = 1,0 gesetzt wird.

Update on ivermectin for covid-19

Ivermectin effective drug against covid

Back in January I wrote an article about four randomized controlled trials of ivermectin as a treatment for covid-19 that had at that time released their results to the public. Each of those four trials had promising results, but each was also too small individually to show any meaningful impact on the hard outcomes we really care about, like death. When I meta-analyzed them together however, the results suddenly appeared very impressive. Here’s what that meta-analysis looked like:

It showed a massive 78% reduction in mortality in patients treated with covid-19. Mortality is the hardest of hard end points, which means it’s the hardest for researchers to manipulate and therefore the least open to bias. Either someone’s dead, or they’re alive. End of story.

You would have thought that this strong overall signal of benefit in the midst of a pandemic would have mobilized the powers that be to arrange multiple large randomized trials to confirm these results as quickly as possible, and that the major medical journals would be falling over each other to be the first to publish these studies.

That hasn’t happened.

Rather the opposite, in fact. South Africa has even gone so far as to ban doctors from using ivermectin on covid-19 patients. And as far as I can tell, most of the discussion about ivermectin in mainstream media (and in the medical press) has centred not around its relative merits, but more around how its proponents are clearly deluded tin foil hat wearing crazies who are using social media to manipulate the masses.

In spite of this, trial results have continued to appear. That means we should now be able to conclude with even greater certainty whether or not ivermectin is effective against covid-19. Since there are so many of these trials popping up now, I’ve decided to limit the discussion here only to the ones I’ve been able to find that had at least 150 participants, and that compared ivermectin to placebo (although I’ll add even the smaller trials I’ve found in to the updated meta-analysis at the end).

As before, it appears that rich western countries have very little interest in studying ivermectin as a treatment for covid. The three new trials that had at least 150 participants and compared ivermectin with placebo were conducted in Colombia, Iran, and Argentina. We’ll go through each in turn.

The Colombian trial (Lopez-Medina et al.) was published in JAMA (the Journal of the American Medical Association) in March. There is one thing that is rather odd with this study, and that is that the study authors were receiving payments from Sanofi-Pasteur, Glaxo-Smith-Kline, Janssen, Merck, and Gilead while conducting the study. Gilead makes remdesivir. Merck is developing two expensive new drugs to treat covid-19. Janssen, Glaxo-Smith-Kline, and Sanofi-Pasteur are all developers of covid vaccines. In other words, the authors of the study were receiving funding from companies that own drugs that are direct competitors to ivermectin. One might call this a conflict of interest, and wonder whether the goal of the study was to show a lack of benefit. It’s definitely a little bit suspicious.

Anyway, let’s get to what the researchers actually did. This was a double-blind randomized controlled trial that recruited patients with mildly symptomatic covid-19 who had experienced symptom onset less than 7 days earlier. Potential participants were identified through a statewide database of people with positive PCR-tests. By “mildly symptomatic” the researchers meant people who had at least one symptom but who did not require high-flow oxygen at the time of recruitment in to the trial.

Participants in the treatment group received 300 ug/kg body weight of ivermectin every day for five days, while participants in the placebo group received an identical placebo. 300 ug/kg works out to 21 mg for an average 70 kg adult, which is quite high, especially when you consider that the dose was given daily for five days. For an average person, this would work out to a total dose of 105 mg. The other ivermectin trials have mostly given around 12 mg per day for one or two days, for a total dose of 12 to 24 mg (which has been considered enough because ivermectin has a long half-life in the body). Why this study gave such a high dose is unclear. However, it shouldn’t be a problem. Ivermectin is a very safe drug, and studies have been done where people have been given ten times the recommended dosewithout any noticeable increase in adverse events.

The stated goal of the study was to see if ivermectin resulted in more rapid symptom resolution than placebo. So participants were contacted by telephone every three days after inclusion in the study, up to day 21, and asked about what symptoms they were experiencing.

398 patients were included in the study. The median age of the participants was 37 years, and they were overall very healthy. 79% had no known co-morbidities. This is a shame. It means that this study is yet another one of those many studies that will not be able to show a meaningful effect on hard end points like hospitalization and death. It is a bit strange that studies keep being done on young healthy people who are at virtually zero risk from covid-19, rather than on the multi-morbid elderly, who are the ones we actually need an effective treatment for.

Anyway, let’s get to the results.

In the group treated with ivermectin, the average time from inclusion in the study to becoming completely symptom free was 10 days. In the placebo group that number was 12 days. So, the ivermectin treated patients recovered on average two days faster. However, the difference was not statistically significant, so the result could easily be due to chance. At 21 days after inclusion in the study, 82% had recovered fully in the ivermectin group, as compared to 79% in the placebo group. Again, the small difference was not statistically significant.

In terms of the hard end points that matter more, there were zero deaths in the ivermectin group and there was one death in the placebo group. 2% of participants in the ivermectin group required “escalation of care” (hospitalization if they were outside the hospital at the start of the study, or oxygen therapy if they were in hospital at the start of the study) as compared with 5% in the placebo group. None of these differences was statistically significant. But that doesn’t mean they weren’t real. Like I wrote earlier, the fact that this was a study of healthy young people meant that, even if a meaningful difference does exist in risk of dying of covid, or of ending up in hospital, this study was never going to find it.

So, what can we conclude?

Ivermectin does not meaningfully shorten duration of symptoms in healthy young people. That’s about all we can say from this study. Considering the conflicts of interest of the authors, my guess is that this was the goal of the study all along: Gather together a number of young healthy people that is too small for there to be any chance of a statistically significant benefit, and then get the result you want. The media will sell the result as “study shows ivermectin doesn’t work” (which they dutifully did).

It is interesting that there were signals of benefit for all the parameters the researchers looked at (resolution of symptoms, escalation of care, death), but that the relatively small number and good health status of the participants meant that there was little chance of any of the results reaching statistical significance.

Let’s move on to the next study, which is currently available as a pre-print on Research Square (Niaee et al.). It was randomized, double-blind, and placebo-controlled, and carried out at five different hospitals in Iran. It was funded by an Iranian university. 

In order to be included in the trial, participants had to be over the age of 18 and admitted to hospital because of a covid-19 infection (which was defined as symptoms suggestive of covid plus either a CT scan typical of covid infection or a positive PCR test).

150 participants were randomized to either placebo (30 people) or varying doses of ivermectin (120 people). The fact that they chose to make the placebo group so small is a problem, because it makes it very hard to detect any differences even if they do exist, by making the statistical certainty of the results in the placebo group very low.

The participants were on average 56 years old and the average oxygen saturation before initiation of treatment was 89% (normal is more than 95%), so this was a pretty sick group. Unfortunately no information is provided on how far along people were in the disease course when they started receiving ivermectin. It stands to reason that the drug is more likely to work if given ten days after symptom onset than when given twenty days after symptom onset, since death usually happens around day 21. If you, for example, wanted to design a trial to fail, you could start treating people at a time point when there is no time for the drug you’re testing to have a chance work, so it would have been nice to know at what time point treatment started in this trial.

So, what were the results?

20% of the participants in the placebo group died (6 out of 30 people). 3% of the participants in the various ivermectin groups died (4 out of 120 people). That is an 85% reduction in the relative risk of death, which is huge.

So, in spite of the fact that the placebo group was so small, it was still possible to see a big difference in mortality. Admittedly, this is a pre-print (i.e. it hasn’t been peer-reviewed yet), and the absolute numbers of deaths are small, so there is some scope for random chance to have created these results (maybe people in the placebo group were just very unlucky!). However, the study appears to have followed all the steps expected for a high quality trial. It was carried out at multiple different hospitals, it used randomization and a control group that received a placebo, and it was double-blinded. And death is a very hard end point that is not particularly open to bias. So unless the researchers have falsified their data, then this study constitutes reasonably good evidence that ivermectin is highly effective when given to patients hospitalized with covid-19. That’s great, because it would mean that the drug can be given quite late in the disease course and still show benefit.

Let’s move on to the third trial (Chahla et al.), which is currently available as a pre-print on MedRxiv. It was carried out in Argentina, and funded by the Argentinean government. Like the first trial we discussed, this was a study of people with mild disease. It literally boggles my mind that so many researchers choose to study people with mild disease instead of studying those with more severe disease. Especially when you consider that these studies are all so small. A study of people with mild disease needs to be very large to find a statistically significant effect, since most people with covid do well regardless. The risk of false negative results is thus enormous. If you’re going to do a small-ish study, and you want to have a reasonable chance of producing results that reach statistical significance, it would make much more sense to do it on sick hospitalized patients.

The study was randomized, but it wasn’t blinded, and there was no placebo. In other words, the intervention group received ivermectin (24 mg per day), while the control group didn’t receive anything. This is a bad bad thing. It means that any non-hard outcomes produced by the study are really quite worthless, since there is so much scope for the placebo effect and other confounding factors to mess up the results. For hard outcomes, in particular death, it should be less of a problem (although we wouldn’t expect any deaths in such a small study of mostly healthy people with mild disease anyway).

The study included people over the age of 18 with symptoms suggestive of covid-19 and a positive PCR test. The average age of the participants was 40 years, and most had no underlying health issues. A total of 172 people were recruited in to the study.

The researchers chose to look at how quickly people became free of symptoms as their primary endpoint. This is enormously problematic, since the study, as already mentioned, wasn’t blinded and there was no placebo. Any difference between the groups could easily be explained by the placebo effect and by biases towards treatment benefit among the researchers.

Anyway, the study found that 49% in the treatment group were free of symptoms at five to nine days after the beginning of treatment, compared with 81% in the control group. However, the lack of blinding means that this result is worthless. The methodology is just too flawed.

No data is provided on the number of people who died in each group. Since it isn’t reported, I think it’s safe to assume that there were no deaths in either group. Nor is any data provided on the number of hospitalizations in each group.

So, what does this study tell us?

Absolutely nothing at all. What a waste of time and money.

Let’s move on and update our meta-analysis. The reason we need to do a meta-analysis here is that none of the trials of ivermectin is large enough on its own to provide a definitive answer as to whether it is a useful treatment for covid-19 or not. For those who haven’t heard of meta-analyses before, basically what you do is just take the results from all different studies in existence that fulfill your pre-selected criteria, and then put them together, so as a to create a single large “meta”-study. This allows you to produce results that have a much higher level of statistical significance. It is particularly useful in a situation where all the individual trials you have to work with are statistically underpowered (have too few participants), as is the case here.

In this new meta-analysis, I’ve included every double-blind randomized placebo-controlled trial I could find of ivermectin as a treatment for covid. Using only double-blind placebo-controlled trials means that only the highest quality studies are included in this meta-analysis, which minimizes the risk of biases messing up the results as far as possible. In order to be included, a study also had to provide mortality data, since the goal of the meta-analysis is to see if there is any difference in mortality. 

I was able to identify seven trials that fulfilled these criteria, with a total of 1,327 participants. Here’s what the meta-analysis shows:

What we see is a 62% reduction in the relative risk of dying among covid patients treated with ivermectin. That would mean that ivermectin prevents roughly three out of five covid deaths. The reduction is statistically significant (p-value 0,004). In other words, the weight of evidence supporting ivermectin continues to pile up. It is now far stronger than the evidence that led to widespred use of remdesivir earlier in the pandemic, and the effect is much larger and more important (remdesivir was only ever shown to marginally decrease length of hospital stay, it was never shown to have any effect on risk of dying).

I understand why pharmaceutical companies don’t like ivermectin. It’s a cheap generic drug. Even Merck, the company that invented ivermectin, is doing it’s best to destroy the drug’s reputation at the moment. This can only be explained by the fact that Merck is currently developing two expensive new covid drugs, and doesn’t want an off-patent drug, which it can no longer make any profit from, competing with them.

The only reason I can think to understand why the broader medical establishment, however, is still so anti-ivermectin is that these studies have all been done outside the rich west. Apparently doctors and scientists outside North America and Western Europe can’t be trusted, unless they’re saying things that are in line with our pre-conceived notions.

Researchers at McMaster university are currently organizing a large trial of ivermectin as a treatment for covid-19, funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation. That trial is expected to enroll over 3,000 people, so it should be definitive. It’s going to be very interesting to see what it shows when the results finally get published.

So sehen sie heute aus, die Mitglieder der Sturmabteilung…

…das Alter stimmt, Frauen dürfen heute auch mitmachen, und die Einstellung gegenüber dem “Feind” ist auch die Richtige – bis zur Vernichtung bekämpfen. – TB

Frau Stephanie Weyand, Mitarbeiterin der SPD-Fraktion im Bundestag, versucht sich in der Vernichtung der beruflichen Existenz des Ihr unliebsamen Arztes Paul Brandenburg

Frau Stephanie Weyand

Kampagne im Namen der SPD-Fraktion?

Offener Brief an die SPD-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag

Berlin, 4. Mai 2021

Sehr geehrter Herr Fraktionsvorsitzender Mützenich,
sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,

Ihre Mitarbeiterin Stephanie Weyand betreibt unter Hinweis auf Zugehörigkeit zur SPD-Fraktion im Bundestag eine Kampagne gegen mich als Unternehmer. Mit unten beigefügter Email nötigt Frau Weyand die Hausverwaltung zur Kündigung des Mietvertrages für meine Corona-Schnelltest-Station in Berlin-Prenzlauer Berg. Als Motivation gibt sie an, dass ich “öffentlich die Maßnahmen der Regierung gegen Corona” ablehne. 

Wahrheitswidrig und ohne Beleg verbreitet Frau Weyand die Behauptung, ich sei “Antidemokrat” und “Demokratiefeind”. Diese Anschuldigung stützt sie auf einen kürzlich erschienenen Artikel des Tagesspiegels, dessen Falschbehauptungen und Unterstellungen sie sich ungeprüft zu eigen macht. Frau Weyand verbindet ihre Aufforderung an meinen Vermieter mit der Drohung, die übrigen Mieter des Hauses in der Husemannstraße aufwiegeln zu wollen. Unter diesem Druck kündigte der Vermieter mir heute. 

Ich fordere Sie höflich zur Klarstellung auf, ob diese Kampagne gegen meine wirtschaftliche Existenz die Billigung Ihrer Fraktion findet. 

Mit freundlichen Grüßen
Paul Brandenburg

Anhang: Email vom 2. Mai 2021

Von: SW <sw_berlin@
Gesendet: Sonntag, 2. Mai 2021 11:40
An: …@remm-gruppe.de
Cc: Stephanie Weyand <stephanie.weyand@spdfraktion.de>

Betreff: Corona-Leugner als Mieter der Husemannstraße 17 

im Tagesspiegel von heute habe ich erfahren, dass der Geschäftsführer des        

Corona-Testzentrums in der Husemannstraße 17, also in unserem Haus, ein Antidemokrat und Anhänger von Corona-Leugnern ist. Es handelt sich laut Artikel um Herrn Paul Brandenburg, der öffentlich die Maßnahmen der Regierung gegen Corona ablehnt, aber mit diesem Testzentrum Unterstützung des Senats einstreicht.

Ich möchte Sie bitten, den Eigentümer des Hauses über diesen Mieter zu informieren. Ich und sicherlich auch die anderen Bewohnerinnen und Bewohner des Hauses möchten nicht mit einem Demokratiegefährder unter einem Dach leben. 

Ich setze meine Dienstadresse mit in Kopie und informiere dann auch meinen Kollegen aus der SPD-Fraktion, der in der Husemannstraße 17 wohnt. 

Den Link zu dem heutigen Artikel im Tagesspiegel füge ich bei, das Zitat daraus lautet: 

„(…) Sicher ist hingegen, dass Paul Brandenburg aktuell bei zwei Corona-Teststellen (in der Sonnenallee 61 und der Husemannstr. 17), die vom Berliner Senat gefördert werden, als Geschäftsführer gelistet ist.“ (Tagesspiegel 2. Mai 2021)

(…)

Mit freundlichen Grüßen
Stephanie Weyand

Energiewende – ein Projekt wie aus dem DDR-Planungsstab

Ich erlaube mir, einen Artikel von Vera Lengsfelds Blog wiederzugeben, der das grundlegende Problem unserer “Energiewende” treffend analysiert. Die Parallelen zur sozialistischen Planwirtschaft sind wirklich frappieren, besonders was die soziale/psychologische Dynamik betrifft – TB

Energiewende – ein Projekt wie aus dem DDR-Planungsstab

Autor Vera LengsfeldVeröffentlicht am 

Von Gastautor James Watt

Wer in der Energiewende die Wiedergeburt sozialistischer Planwirtschaft vermutet, wird sich in den Memoiren des obersten DDR-Planers bestätigt sehen. Schürers faktenreiche Erlebnisberichte aus der kommunistischen Schaltzentrale lassen einen möglichen Ausgang des deutschen Mammutvorhabens erahnen.
Am 14. April 2021 wäre Gerhard Schürer einhundert Jahre alt geworden. Älteren Semestern ist er als Vorsitzender der staatlichen Plankommission der DDR bekannt. Jüngeren könnte man ihn als „Mister Planwirtschaft“ vorstellen. Zwölf Jahre vor seinem Tod legte Schürer im Jahr 1998 seine Erinnerungen vor. Der Titel „Gewagt und verloren: eine deutsche Biographie“ klingt wie ein Menetekel auf das Schicksal der deutschen Energiewende. Dem SED-Politiker gebührt für die authentische, nüchterne und nachdenkliche Analyse seines Lebenswerkes Respekt. Er schreibt weder als Wendehals noch als Betonkopf. Ohne Energiewende wären die Schürer-Memoiren lediglich die x-te Reminiszenz aus der Riege pensionierter Altkommunisten. Doch die historische Parallele zum großen Transformationsprojekt verleiht dem Werk eine hellseherische Aura.
Seit der Oktoberrevolution leben kommunistische Funktionäre in der festen Überzeugung, eine Volkswirtschaft müsse zum Wohle ihrer Bürger von oben durchregiert werden. Sind alle geldgierigen Kapitalisten erst enteignet, so könne zentral genau geplant werden, wie viel Stahl, Autos und Zahnbürsten nötig sind, um die Bedürfnisse von Sowjetbürgern oder DDR-Bewohnern zu befriedigen. Die junge Sowjetunion schuf hierfür 1921 die Organisation Gosplan. Die 1950 gegründete staatliche Plankommission der DDR war deren Schwesterorganisation. In der Behörde

arbeiteten zuletzt 2000 Menschen; von 1965 bis 1989 leitete Gerhard Schürer ihre Geschicke.
32 Jahre nach Abwicklung der Plankommission ist noch immer die Vorstellung weit verbreitet, man könne Klimaschutzziele wie etwa den Kohleausstieg für 2038 oder das Verschwinden von CO2-Emissionen für 2050 vorgeben und diese durch staatlich organisierte Maßnahmepakete preisgünstig erreichen. Für Zeitgenossen, die diesem Glauben nachhängen, dürften die Schürer-Erinnerungen besonders aufschlussreich sein. Mehrere Gemeinsamkeiten sozialistischer Planwirtschaft und deutscher Energiewende lassen sich an Schürers Memoiren besonders gut illustrieren.
Ziele ohne Maß und Mitte
Eine allgegenwärtige Eigenart ist die lautstarke Ausrufung unerreichbarer Ziele. Schürer zitiert konkrete Beispiele. So definiert Walter Ulbricht in seiner Rede auf dem V. Parteitag 1958 als Hauptaufgabe: „Die Volkswirtschaft der DDR ist innerhalb weniger Jahre so zu entwickeln, dass die Überlegenheit der sozialistischen Gesellschaftsordnung der DDR gegenüber der Herrschaft der imperialistischen Kräfte im Bonner Staat eindeutig bewiesen wird und infolge dessen der Pro-Kopf-Verbrauch unserer werktätigen Bevölkerung mit allen wichtigen Lebensmitteln und Konsumgütern den Pro-Kopf-Verbrauch der Gesamtbewohner in Westdeutschland erreicht und übertrifft.“ Um alle Zweifel zu zerstreuen, stellt Ulbricht an anderer Stelle klar, dass die „Ökonomische Hauptaufgabe“ in drei Jahren bis 1961 zu lösen sei.
Schürer legt kenntnisreich dar, wie sozialistische Staatspläne durch gruppendynamische Resonanzvorgänge in gleichgeschalteten Gremien ohne demokratische Legitimation entstehen. Einfühlsam illuminiert Schürer diesen Mechanismus am Beispiel der Ulbricht-Ziele: „Viele wussten, dass das nicht geht, aber durch die euphorischen Zielstellungen in den anderen sozialistischen Ländern in dieser Zeit beeindruckt, wurde der Beschluss vom Parteitag mit großem Beifall aufgenommen.“
Bei der Definition von Energiewende-Kennziffern ist die Verwandtschaft zur sozialistischen Planwirtschaft unübersehbar. Zwar handelt es sich beim Bundestag, der 2011 den Atomausstieg beschloss, zweifelsohne um ein demokratisch legitimiertes Gremium. Der Europäische Green Deal wurde hingegen von der Präsidentin der Europäischen Kommission proklamiert, der eine breit akzeptierte demokratische Legitimation fehlt. In den Arbeitsgruppen zur Verschärfung von

Klimazielen herrscht in der Regel linientreue Einhelligkeit wie zu Schürers Zeiten. Analog zur Planwirtschaft werden Ziele zugespitzt, ohne sich fundiert über Realisierbarkeit und die Konsequenzen für die Industrieregionen Deutschland und Europa Gedanken zu machen. Beispielsweise hat sich der Direktor der EU-Generaldirektion Klima Artur Runge-Metzger während eines im Schürer-Stil gestrickten Impulsreferats im November 2019 zum Thema „EU-Klimaschutzpolitik als Grundlage für die Industrie von morgen“ ohne einen Anflug von Selbstironie als „überzeugter Marktwirtschaftler“ bezeichnet.
Nicht allein in ihrem Geburtsweg, auch sprachlich ähneln sich Energiewendedokumente und Planwirtschaftspapiere. Die Einleitung des Green Deal ist in herzlosem Funktionärs-Kauderwelsch abgefasst: „In dieser Mitteilung wird der europäische Grüne Deal für die Europäische Union (EU) und ihre Bürgerinnen und Bürger vorgestellt. … Es handelt sich um eine neue Wachstumsstrategie, mit der die EU zu einer fairen und wohlhabenden Gesellschaft … werden soll.“ Abwesenheit von Empathie gegenüber den Leidtragenden von Corona-Beschränkungen kommt im achten Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende aus dem Jahr 2021 zum Ausdruck: „Die Covid-19-Pandemie wird den positiven Trend der letzten Jahre weiter verstärken in Richtung Zielerreichung im Jahr 2020.“ Im gleichen Dokument wird mit den Worten „Die Energiewende ist kein nationaler Alleingang“ obendrein das Gegenteil des Augenscheinlichen behauptet.
Gängelei statt Eigenverantwortung
Sind die unerreichbaren Ziele fixiert, liegt ein weiterer Wesenszug sozialistischer Planwirtschaft in der engmaschigen Überwachung sämtlicher handelnden Subjekte. Dabei lassen sich SED-Politiker einschließlich Gerhard Schürer vom unerschütterlichen Glauben an die Allmacht des Staates leiten.
Schürer ist überzeugt: „Die Planung für eine gesamte Volkswirtschaft kann durchaus Nützliches vollbringen“ und ergänzt großzügig: „wenn sie sich zentral auf die Planung von nicht mehr als 200 bis 300 Positionen der wichtigsten Rohstoffe und Haupterzeugnisse und eine … klug ausgewählte Zahl wissenschaftlich-technischer Aufgaben und Objekte mit Priorität beschränkt.“ Er versichert später jovial: „Was überhaupt nicht geht, ist eine überzentralisierte oder gar totale Planung für die ungeheure Vielfalt der Bedürfnisse einer Volkswirtschaft.“ Das Selbstverständnis sozialistischer Planer wird in einem Bonmot Schürers zusammengefasst: „Wir … fügten uns gern in die neue

Rolle ein, nicht „Oberkommando“ der Wirtschaft, sondern ihr ökonomischer „Generalstab“ zu sein, was eigentlich auch dem Statut der Plankommission entsprach.“
Am Ende wurde es freilich selbst dem Oberplaner zu viel: „In den letzten Jahren der DDR hatte es Günter Mittag sogar durchgesetzt, dass die bisher übliche Planung nach Quartalen durch eine Monats- und Dekadenplanung ergänzt wurde, und schließlich 1988 führte er Tagespläne ein, was dem Wahnsinn nahe kam.“
Das Mikromanagement der Energiewende folgt einem ähnlichen Muster. Exemplarisch listet der 286 Seiten umfassende achte Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende auf den Seiten 213-273 insgesamt 251 Maßnahmen auf. Nummer 58 „Wanderausstellung Deutsche Energiewende“ dürfte einen besonders gewichtigen Beitrag zur Reduktion der CO2-Emissionen geleistet haben. Noch drastischer illustriert der Aufblähungsprozess des Erneuerbare-Energie-Gesetzes das Scheitern der Energieplanwirtschaft. Das Dokument ist im Zeitraum zwischen 2000 und 2021 von 5 auf 154 Seiten aufgedunsen.
Linientreue Wissenschaft
Ein verlässlicher Stützpfeiler bei der Umsetzung planwirtschaftlicher Vorgaben sind opportunistische Wissenschaftler. Gerhard Schürer erzählt eine Reihe unterhaltsamer Geschichten, die auch aus der Gegenwart stammen könnten. An Energiewendeprojekte erinnert die Moritat von der Fabrik für synthetisches Eiweiß in Schwedt. Schürer schreibt: „Wissenschaftler der DDR unter Leitung von Professor Manfred Ringpfeil hatten ein neues Verfahren zur mikrobiologischen Herstellung von synthetischem Eiweiß auf der Basis von Dieselöl entwickelt. Natürliche Eiweißfuttermittel (z.B. Sojaschrot) waren defizitär und teuer im Import. Deshalb beklagten sich Mitglieder der Akademie der Wissenschaften sinngemäß etwa so, dass die Plankommission solche kühnen Projekte nicht genug fördere. In Japan gäbe es ebenfalls eine Fabrik, die auf der Basis von Erdgas synthetisches Eiweiß herstellt. Da die Fleischversorgung sehr angespannt war, könne damit das Problem der Futterbereitstellung durch den Bau einer Großanlage in Schwedt gelöst werden. … Es wurde nach vielem Hin und Her den Vorschlägen der Wissenschaft entsprochen. Das Werk wurde in Schwedt gebaut. Die Tonne Erdöl kostete damals 14 Rubel. Die Kosten für das Gesamtprojekt konnten zunächst nur geschätzt werden. Das Unglück nahm seinen Lauf. Der Aufwand stieg und stieg. Immer neue Reinigungsstufen mussten eingebaut werden. Am Schluss

beliefen sich die Kosten auf 1,7 Milliarden Mark, der Erdölpreis stieg inzwischen auf über 100 Rubel, 1980 auf 182 Rubel pro Tonne und die Selbstkosten für die Tonne synthetischer Futtermittel lagen um das 5-6 fache höher, als der Importaufwand für das natürliche Eiweiß betragen hätte. Die Rückstände der Produktion waren nicht, wie vorausgesagt, effektiv verwertbar, sondern ihre Entsorgung bereitete große Probleme. Die Bauern weigerten sich, das synthetische Futtermittel zu kaufen, und zwar auch dann noch, als wir den Absatz bis unter den Preis des natürlichen Eiweißes subventionieren.“ Was in der DDR auf synthetische Futtermittel zutraf, passiert heute in Deutschland mit subventioniertem Überschussstrom. Dieser wird zuweilen nicht nur verschenkt, sondern muss gelegentlich zu negativen Preisen abgegeben werden.
Obwohl ich für die Entwicklung meiner Dampfmaschine kein Steuergeld von König Georg III erhielt, habe ich Verständnis, dass Wissenschaftler auf der Suche nach Geldgebern einen gewissen Opportunismus pflegen. Es ist mir jedoch unerklärlich, wieso aus dem deutschen Wissenschaftssystem einschließlich seiner Akademien keine kritische Energiewendereflexion zu vernehmen ist.
Das Bundesforschungsministerium hat im Jahr 2016 sogenannte Kopernikus-Projekte ins Leben gerufen. Ihr erklärtes Ziel ist die Entwicklung von Technologien zur Erreichung der deutschen Klimaschutzziele. Auf den Internetseiten sowie in den Gremien herrscht bedrückende intellektuelle Monotonie – das genaue Gegenteil dessen, was der mutige Querdenker einst verkörperte. Die politische Einseitigkeit des Internetauftritts kommt in der Schilderung einer fiktiven Energiezukunft besonders plastisch ans Tageslicht: „Der Gemeinschaftssinn ist stark – Bürger*innen beteiligen sich an politischen Prozessen und sind in Entscheidungen eingebunden. Sie befürworten einen kollektiven und emissionsneutralen Lebensstil, sehen die Vorteile des Klimaschutzes und setzen sich aktiv für die Einführung der dazu notwendigen Technologien ein. Dafür nehmen sie auch Nachteile in Kauf.“ Wissenschaftlicher Streit auf http://www.kopernikus-projekte.de? Fehlanzeige!
Niederschmetternde Bilanz
Das finale Merkmal sozialistischer Planwirtschaft ist ihre Bilanz. In der Regel interessiert sich außer meinem künftigen Landsmann Winston Smith kaum jemand für die Planzahlen von gestern. Wer es dennoch tut, erfährt Denkwürdiges.

Mit Liebe zum Detail plaudert Gerhard Schürer aus dem planwirtschaftlichen Nähkästchen und beschreibt freischwebende Prestigeprojekte, die horrende Kosten verursachten. Ein Beispiel stammt aus der DDR-Automobilindustrie. Schürer berichtet: „Als Günter Mittag 1984 in der Bundesrepublik eine gebrauchte Fertigungsstraße des VW Alpha-Motors für 360 Millionen DM geordert hatte und ohne einen Beschluss über ein Gesamtkonzept der Pkw-Produktion mit der ausdrücklichen Zustimmung Erich Honeckers den Vertrag schnell abschloss, war die größte Fehlentscheidung in der Geschichte der DDR auf wirtschaftlichem Gebiet getroffen worden, denn es handelte sich hierbei um eine Transferstraße nur für den Rumpfmotor, d. h. für alle weiteren Teile in der zu Recht von VW geforderten Qualität, einschließlich des Motorengusses, mussten wir die Kapazitäten schaffen und darüber hinaus große Veränderungen an der Konstruktion des Trabants und des Wartburgs vornehmen, damit der VW-Motor eingebaut werden konnte. … Insgesamt waren mehr als sieben Milliarden Mark Investitionen erforderlich, und man hatte dennoch keine weltmarktfähigen Fahrzeuge, wobei der Trabant mit dem leistungsfähigen Motor übermotorisiert war.“
Immerhin ringt sich Schürer nach der Wende zu einer ehrlichen Bilanz durch: „Es ist und bleibt eine Tatsache, dass kein einziges der sozialistischen Länder es geschafft hat, eine höhere Arbeitsproduktivität als die führenden kapitalistischen Länder zu erreichen, was nach Lenin ausschlaggebend für den Sieg der neuen Gesellschaftsordnung war.“ Er fügt später offenherzig hinzu: „Und dennoch glaube ich heute nicht mehr daran, dass eine Planung mit klügeren Köpfen an der Spitze hätte bessere Antworten auf alle Fragen unserer Entwicklung geben können.“
Die Bilanz von Energiewendeprojekten genießt nicht die gleiche öffentliche Aufmerksamkeit wie deren Ankündigung. Bei der Suche nach dem Erfüllungsgrad der Proklamation einer Million Elektroautos für das Jahr 2020 muss man beispielsweise intensiv suchen, bevor man auf eine Pressemitteilung des Kraftfahrt-Bundesamtes stößt. Demnach bringt es das Elektro-Segment auf 589.752 Fahrzeuge – die reichliche Hälfte der in 2010 angekündigten Zahl.
Der Bundesrechnungshof stellt in seinem jüngsten Bericht von 2021 dem Management der Energiewende ein kritisches Zeugnis aus: „In keinem anderen EU-Mitgliedsstaat sind die Strompreise für typische Privathaushalte zurzeit höher als in Deutschland. Sie liegen 43 % über dem EU-Durchschnitt. Das BMWi hat nach wie vor nicht bestimmt, was es unter einer preisgünstigen und effizienten Versorgung der Allgemeinheit mit Elektrizität versteht.“

Wer schreibt Schürer 2.0?
Im Wendeherbst 1989 erarbeiteten Alexander Schalck-Golodkowski, Gerhard Beil, Ernst Höfer und Arno Donda unter Federführung von Gerhard Schürer ein Papier mit dem Titel „Analyse der ökonomischen Lage der DDR mit Schlussfolgerungen“ und legten dieses dem Politbüro des Zentralkomitees der SED am 30. Oktober 1989 vor.
Das elfseitige „Schürer-Papier“ beginnt mit den üblichen Lobliedern auf sozialistische Errungenschaften. Doch bereits ab Seite drei folgt eine ungeschminkte Bestandsaufnahme ökonomischer Kennziffern, deren Faktenreichtum eine Blaupause für die ausstehende Analyse der deutschen Energiewende sein könnte. Dann kommen vier Schlussfolgerungen, die „eine grundsätzliche Änderung der Wirtschaftspolitik der DDR“, eine „Durchführung einer Wirtschaftsreform mit sofort wirksamen und langfristig wirkenden Maßnahmen“, eine „neue Stufe der Zusammenarbeit der DDR mit der UdSSR“ und ein „konstruktives Konzept der Zusammenarbeit mit der BRD“ fordern. Am Schluss des Papiers fallen die Autoren in die Traumwelt sozialistischer Planwirtschaft zurück und fabulieren: „Insgesamt geht es um die Entwicklung einer an den Marktbedingungen orientierten sozialistischen Planwirtschaft bei optimaler Ausgestaltung des demokratischen Zentralismus…“ Die Genese des Schlusssatzes lässt sich bei Lichte besehen nur mit dem Einfluss stimmungsaufhellender Substanzen erklären. Er lautet: „Als Zeichen der Hoffnung und der Perspektive ist die DDR bereit, 1995 zu prüfen, ob sich die Hauptstadt der DDR und Berlin (West) um die gemeinsame Durchführung der Olympischen Spiele im Jahr 2004 bewerben sollten.“
Wer wird das Schürer-Papier über die deutsche Energiewende schreiben?
Vom handzahmen deutschen Wissenschaftssystem sind solche Analysen kaum zu erwarten. Und dies, obwohl die meisten Zahlen heute leicht zugänglich sind. Das Papier müsste die seit 1990 erreichten CO2-Emissionsminderungen zu den volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten der Energiewende in Relation setzen. Es sollte dann Vorschläge für Kurskorrekturen in Richtung höherer Wirtschaftlichkeit formulieren. Die Eckpunkte hierzu werden unter kritischen Wissenschaftlern hinter vorgehaltener Hand schon lange besprochen, jedoch aus Opportunismus nicht publik gemacht. Überfällige Schritte zu einer rationalen Klimapolitik sind die Abschaffung des klimatisch wirkungslosen und unsozialen Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetzes, die Annullierung des
8
klimaschädlichen und europaspaltenden deutschen Atomausstiegs sowie ein im Grundgesetz verankerter Schutz des Verbrennungsmotors vor pseudowissenschaftlichen Verbotsfanatikern.
Abschließend erscheint es geboten, den widersprüchlichen Funktionär und selbstkritischen Nachwendeanalytiker Schürer für einige treffsichere Ausblicke zu würdigen. Im letzten Buchkapitel schreibt er: „Sollte es wirklich eine Utopie bleiben, dass sich aus Sozialdemokraten, grünen Realos und PDS-Mitgliedern einmal eine starke linke Kraft entwickelt, die ernsthaft um den Wahlsieg gegen CDU/CSU kämpft“? Und zu guter Letzt: „Meines Erachtens würde ihr [der SPD] das gelingen, wenn sie ihre populistischen Ziele des Ausstiegs aus der Atomenergie aufgibt, indem sie die Wissenschaften, besonders die Hochtechnologien, und die Leistungsgesellschaft fördert.“

Der Autor ist als Universitätsprofessor im Maschinenraum der Energiewende tätig.

Die Realität zeigt: Das Corona-Modell des Imperial College ist falsch.

Das Corona-Modell des Imperial College, entwickelt und propagiert von Neil Fergusson, taugt nichts. Seine Vorhersagen über Corona-Tote stimmen in keinem Land mit den tatsächlichen Zahlen überein, sondern sind groteske Überschätzungen der tatsächlichen Todesfälle. Und: Die Zahlen v.a. aus Schweden zeigen ganz klar, dass auch ohne Lockdown die Zahl der Todesfälle nicht aussergewöhnlich ansteigt. Dieses Modell ist die hauptsächliche Begründung aller Einschränkungen, die uns auferlegt werden.- TB

Phillip W. Magnes schreibt für das American Institute for Economic Research:

The Failure of Imperial College Modeling Is Far Worse than We Knew

A fascinating exchange played out in the UK’s House of Lords on June 2, 2020. Neil Ferguson, the physicist at Imperial College London who created the main epidemiology model behind the lockdowns, faced his first serious questioning about the predictive performance of his work.

Ferguson predicted catastrophic death tolls back on March 16, 2020 unless governments around the world adopted his preferred suite of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to ward off the pandemic. Most countries followed his advice, particularly after the United Kingdom and United States governments explicitly invoked his report as a justification for lockdowns. 

Ferguson’s team at Imperial would soon claim credit for saving millions of lives through these policies – a figure they arrived at through a ludicrously unscientific exercise where they purported to validate their model by using its own hypothetical projections as a counterfactual of what would happen without lockdowns. But the June hearing in Parliament drew attention to another real-world test of the Imperial team’s modeling, this one based on actual evidence.

As Europe descended into the first round of its now year-long experiment with shelter-in-place restrictions, Sweden famously shirked the strategy recommended by Ferguson. In doing so, they also created the conditions of a natural experiment to see how their coronavirus numbers performed against the epidemiology models. Although Ferguson originally limited his scope to the US and UK, a team of researchers at Uppsala University in Sweden borrowed his model and adapted it to their country with similarly catastrophic projections. If Sweden did not lock down by mid-April, the Uppsala team projected, the country would soon experience 96,000 coronavirus deaths.

I was one of the first people to call attention to the Uppsala adaptation of Ferguson’s model back on April 30, 2020. Even at that early date, the model showed clear signs of faltering. Although Sweden was hit hard by the virus, its death toll stood at only a few thousand at a point where the adaptation from Ferguson’s model already expected tens of thousands. At the one year mark, Sweden had a little over 13,000 fatalities from Covid-19 – a serious toll, but smaller on a per-capita basis than many European lockdown states and a far cry from the 96,000 deaths projected by the Uppsala adaptation.

The implication for Ferguson’s work remains clear: the primary model used to justify lockdowns failed its first real-world test.

In the House of Lords hearing from last year, Conservative member Viscount Ridley grilled Ferguson over the Swedish adaptation of his model: “Uppsala University took the Imperial College model – or one of them – and adapted it to Sweden and forecasted deaths in Sweden of over 90,000 by the end of May if there was no lockdown and 40,000 if a full lockdown was inforced.” With such extreme disparities between the projections and reality, how could the Imperial team continue to guide policy through their modeling?

Ferguson snapped back, disavowing any connection to the Swedish results: “First of all, they did not use our model. They developed a model of their own. We had no role in parameterising it. Generally, the key aspect of modelling is how well you parameterise it against the available data. But to be absolutely clear they did not use our model, they didn’t adapt our model.”

The Imperial College modeler offered no evidence that the Uppsala team had erred in their application of his approach. The since-published version from the Uppsala team makes it absolutely clear that they constructed the Swedish adaptation directly from Imperial’s UK model. “We used an individual agent-based model based on the framework published by Ferguson and coworkers that we have reimplemented” for Sweden, the authors explain. They also acknowledged that their modeled projections far exceeded observed outcomes, although they attribute the differences somewhat questionably to voluntary behavioral changes rather than a fault in the model design.

Ferguson’s team has nonetheless aggressively attempted to dissociate itself from the Uppsala adaptation of their work. After the UK Spectator called attention to the Swedish results last spring, Imperial College tweeted out that “Professor Ferguson and the Imperial COVID-19 response team never estimated 40,000 or 100,000 Swedish deaths. Imperial’s work is being conflated with that of an entirely separate group of researchers.” It’s a deflection that Ferguson and his defenders have repeated many times since.

As it turns out though, Ferguson and the Imperial College team were being less than truthful in their attempts to dissociate themselves from Sweden’s observed outcomes. In the weeks following the release of their well-known US and UK projections, Ferguson and his team did in fact produce a trimmed-down version of their own modeling exercise for the rest of the world, including Sweden. They did not widely publicize the country-level projections, but the full list may be found buried in a Microsoft Excel appendix file to Imperial College’s Report #12, released on March 26, 2020.

Imperial’s own projected results for Sweden are nearly identical to the Uppsala adaptation of their UK model. Ferguson’s team forecast up to 90,157 deaths under “unmitigated” spread (compared to Uppsala’s 96,000). Under the “population-level social distancing” scenario meant to approximate NPI mitigation measures such as lockdowns, the Imperial modelers predicted Sweden would incur up to 42,473 deaths (compared to 40,000 from the Uppsala adaptation).

The Imperial team did not specify the exact timing of when they expected Sweden to reach the peak of its outbreak. We may reasonably infer it though from their earlier US and UK model, which anticipated the “peak in mortality (daily deaths) to occur after approximately 3 months” following the initial outbreak. That would place Sweden’s peak daily death toll around mid-June, or almost the exact same time period as the Uppsala team’s adaptation.

Figure I: Imperial College Model for Sweden, March 26, 2020

imperial model

It turns out that Viscount Ridley’s line of questioning was correct all along. The Uppsala adaptation of Ferguson’s model not only projected exaggerated death tolls in Sweden. Ferguson’s own projections for Sweden advanced similar numbers, all wildly off the mark from what happened.

Imperial College’s multi-country model used its earlier and more famous projections for the US and UK to claim validity for its more expansive set of international extrapolations. As Ferguson’s team wrote on March 26, 2020: “Our estimated impact of an unmitigated scenario in the UK and the USA for a reproduction number, R0 , of 2.4 (490,000 deaths and 2,180,000 deaths respectively) closely matches the equivalent scenarios using more sophisticated microsimulations (510,000 and 2,200,000 deaths respectively)” that they released a few weeks prior. If Imperial’s US and UK projections matched, a similar validity could be inferred for the other countries they modeled in the multi-country report.

The Imperial College team fully intended for its multi-country model to guide policy. They called on other countries to adopt lockdowns and related NPIs to reduce the projected death toll from the “unmitigated” scenario to “social distancing.” As Ferguson and his colleagues wrote at the time, “[t]o help inform country strategies in the coming weeks, we provide here summary statistics of the potential impact of mitigation and suppression strategies in all countries across the world. These illustrate the need to act early, and the impact that failure to do so is likely to have on local health systems.”

Failure to act, they continued, would lead to near-certain catastrophe. As Ferguson and his team wrote, “[t]he only approaches that can avert health system failure in the coming months are likely to be the intensive social distancing measures currently being implemented in many of the most affected countries, preferably combined with high levels of testing.” In short, the world needed to go into immediate lockdown in order to avert the catastrophes predicted by their multi-country model.

(Note: Imperial College also included a third possible mitigation scenario for stricter measures on top of general population NPIs, aimed at further isolating elderly and vulnerable people, projecting it could reduce Sweden’s numbers to between 16,192 and 33,878. They further modeled a fourth possible “suppression” scenario consisting of a severe lockdown that would reduce human contacts by 75% for the duration of the pandemic and maintain them for a year or more until population-wide vaccination was achieved. It predicted 14,518 deaths. Sweden clearly did not adopt either of these approaches).

One year later we may now look back to see how Imperial College’s international projections performed, paying closer attention to the small number of countries that bucked his lockdown recommendations. The results are not pretty for Ferguson, and point to a clear pattern of modeling that systematically exaggerated the projected death tolls of Covid-19 in the absence of lockdowns and related NPIs.

Figure II compares the Imperial College model’s projections for its “social distancing” scenario and “unmitigated” scenario against the actual outcomes at the one-year mark after its release. These projections reflect an assumed replication rate (R0) of 2.4 – the most conservative scenario they considered, meaning Imperial’s upper range of projections anticipated substantially higher death tolls. The countries examined here – Sweden, Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea – are distinctive for either eschewing lockdowns and similar aggressive NPI restrictions entirely or for relying on them in a much more limited scope than Imperial College advised. The United States, where 43 of 50 states adopted lockdowns of some form, is also included for comparison.

Figure II: Performance of Imperial College Modeling in 4 Non-Lockdown Countries & the United States

Country (assumed R0 = 2.4)Imperial Model projected deaths – social distancing (lockdowns)Imperial Model projected deaths -unmitigated spread1 year actual deaths (3/26/21)Overestimate, Lockdown scenarioOverestimate, Unmitigated scenarioOverestimate Percentage – LockdownsOverestimate Percentage – Unmitigated
Sweden30,43466,39313,49616,93852,897126%392%
Taiwan93,712179,8281093,702179,818937020%1798180%
South Korea141,198301,3521,716139,482299,6368128%17461%
Japan469,0641,055,4268,967460,0971,046,4595131%11670%
United States1,099,0952,186,315563,285535,8101,623,03095%288%

As can be seen, Imperial College wildly overstated the projected deaths in each country under both its “unmitigated” scenario and its NPI-reliant “social distancing” scenario – including by orders of magnitude in several cases.

Similar exaggerations may be found in almost every other country where Imperial released projections, even as most of them opted to lock down. The Imperial team’s most conservative model predicted 332,000 deaths in France under lockdown-based “social distancing” and 621,000 with “unmitigated” spread. At the one year mark, France had incurred 94,000 deaths. Belgium was expected to incur a minimum of 46,000 fatalities under NPI mitigation, and 91,000 with uncontrolled spread. At the one year anniversary of the model, it reached 23,000 deaths – among the highest tolls in the world on a per capita basis and an example of extreme political mismanagement of the pandemic under heavy lockdown to be sure, but still only half of Imperial College’s most conservative projection for NPI mitigation.

Just over one year ago, the epidemiology modeling of Neil Ferguson and Imperial College played a preeminent role in shutting down most of the world. The exaggerated forecasts of this modeling team are now impossible to downplay or deny, and extend to almost every country on earth. Indeed, they may well constitute one of the greatest scientific failures in modern human history.

Lockdowns sind nutzlos – wissenschaftliche Belege.

Science Files hat die aktuellen wisssenschaftlichen Studien zu Nutzen und Folgen von Lockdowns zusammengestellt, sehr verdienstvoll. – TB

Follow the Science! Die gesammelten Belege dafür, dass Lockdowns nicht funktionieren

Entweder Politdarsteller sind so armselig, dass sie dann, wenn man ihnen einmal gesagt hat, dass es angeblich so sei, dass A gegen B hilft, sie nicht in der Lage sind, die Meldung, dass A NICHT gegen B hilft, zu verarbeiten oder Politdarsteller wollen, wenn sie sich einmal darauf versteift haben, dass A gegen B hilft, keinerlei Informationen zur Kenntnis nehmen, die eben zeigen, dass A NICHT gegen B hilft.

Die mentalen Schranken, die verhindern, dass Menschen lernen, sind in der Sozialpsychologie recht gut erforscht. Leon Festinger hat sie z.B. in seiner Theorie der kognitiven Dissonanz bearbeitet, Milton Rokeach hat die ideologisch bedingten Unfähigkeit, zu lernen, in seinem „The Open and the Closed Mind“, untersucht und die eine lange Reihe von Autoren, z.B. David Pratt, sie haben Stufenmodell erstellt, die beschreiben, wie aus zunächst weitgehend normalen Menschen dadurch, dass sie sich von der Realität und dem normalerweise korrigierenden Charakter, den sie auf falsche Überzeugungen ausübt, abnabeln, zunächst Fundamentalisten und dann Fanatiker werden. Wir haben über all diese Autoren ausführlich auf ScienceFiles geschrieben, suchen Sie einfach nach den entsprechenden Namen, um die Texte zu finden.

In diesem Post wollen wir die Studien, die zeigen, dass Lockdowns nicht helfen, sondern im Gegenteil schaden, zusammenstellen, als eine Form „Argumentationshilfe“, so dass jeder, der mit einem dieser Fanatiker, die behaupten, wenn man Leute einsperrt, dann kann man damit die Verbreitung von SARS-CoV-2 verhindern und Leben retten, Zugriff auf eine Reihe von Studien hat, die das Gegenteil davon zeigen und die zeigen, dass Lockdowns nicht nur nichts nutzen, sondern in erheblichem Ausmaß schaden:

Nicht nur führen Lockdowns NICHT dazu, dass SARS-CoV-2 unter Kontrolle gebracht oder gar neutralisiert wird. Bestenfalls sorgen sie dafür, dass die Dauer der Epidemie für Deutschland künstlich in die Länge gezogen wird.

Lockdowns sind mit erheblichen wirtschaftlichen und gesundheitlichen Schäden verbunden, mit Lockdowns werden im Saldo keine Menschenleben gerettet, sondern Menschen getötet.




  1. Bjornskov, Christian (2021). Did Lockdown Work? An Economist’s Cross-Country Comparison. CESifo Economic Studies.
  • Ein Lockdown hat keine Reduzierung von Sterblichkeit zur Folge. Tatsächlich ist ein Lockdown mit einer Übersterblichkeit assoziiert.
  • Ein harter Lockdown sorgt für mehr Tote als ein beschränkter Lockdown.
  • Der Zeitpunkt, zu dem ein Lockdown eingesetzt wird, steht in keinem Zusammenhang zum Einfluss eines Lockdowns auf die Sterblichkeit.
  • METHODE: Sterbedaten für 24 Europäische Länder auf monatlicher und wöchentlicher Basis und nach Altersgruppen werden mit der jeweiligen Intensität der Maßnahmen zur Reduzierung der Verbreitung von SARS-CoV-2 in Verbindung gesetzt. Es gibt keinerlei Zusammenhang.
  • Nachzulesen: https://sciencefiles.org/2021/04/06/lockdown-kills-explosive-studie-zeigt-die-wirkungslosigkeit-von-lockdowns-gegen-covid-19/

  1. Savaris, R. F., Pumi, G., Dalzochio, J. & Kunst, R. (2021). Stay-at-home Policy is a Case of Exception Fallacy: An Internet-based Ecological Study. Scientific Reports 11

  1. Office of National Statistics, UK (2021): Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending 26 February 2021.

Folgen Sie uns auf TELEGRAM
  1. Yang, Qing et al. (2021). Just 2% of SARS-CoV-2-positive individuals carry 90% of the virus circulating in communities.
  • Konservativ gerechnet sind 50% der asymptomatisch Positiven nicht in der Lage, SARS-CoV-2 zu verbreiten, andere damit anzustecken, und 42% der symptomatisch Positiven, also der an COVID-19 Erkrankten, sind dazu ebenfalls nicht in der Lage, wobei die Datenbasis für diese 42% hospitalisierte Patienten sind.
  • PCR-Tests, die erst nach mehr als 30 Zyklen fündig werden, sind unbrauchbar.
  • Personen, die in weniger als 29 Zyklen positiv getestet werden können, haben das Potential, andere anzustecken, alle anderen nicht.
  • Es gibt keinen Unterschied zwischen asymptomatischen und symptomatischen Personen in dieser Hinsicht.
  • METHODE: 72.500 Speichelproben, die Studenten und Dozenten auf dem Campus der University of Boulder im Zeitraum von 27. August bis 11. Dezember 2020 entnommen wurden und die auf SARS-CoV-2 getestet wurden, darunter 1.405 SARS-CoV-2 positive Speichelproben von asymptomatischen Personen; Daten für symptomatische Infizierte wurden aus 10 bereits veröffentlichen Studien entnommen.
  • Nachzulesen: https://sciencefiles.org/2021/03/07/lockdown-ist-kollektivstrafe-rund-50-der-positiv-auf-sars-cov-2-getesteten-nicht-ansteckend/

  1. Bianchi, Francesco, Bianchi, Giada & Song, Dongho (2021)The Long-term Impact of the COVID-10 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates.National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper #28304.
  • Lockdowns erhöhen die Arbeitslosigkeit und von Arbeitslosigkeit ist bekannt, dass sie die Lebensqualität und die Lebenserwartung von Menschen reduziert: Die Autoren kommen in ihrem VAR-Modell zu folgenden Ergebnissen: Die Lebenserwartung sinkt, und zwar im Durchschnitt um 0,76% für Männer und 0,41% für Frauen. Die durchschnittliche Lebenserwartung liegt in Deutschland bei 84,4 Jahren für Männer und bei 88,1 Jahren für Frauen. Als Folge des Lockdown reduziert sich die Lebenserwartung von Männern auf 83,8 Jahre, die von Frauen auf 87,7 Jahre.
  • Die Hauptleidtragenden des Lockdown sind also Männer. Der Zeithorizont für diese Reduzierung beträgt 20 Jahre, d.h. die Langzeitfolgen der kurzfristigen Maßnahmen “Lockdown” werden uns mindestens 20 Jahre begleiten.
  • METHODE: VAR [Vektor-Autoregressions]-Modelle, die auf Basis vorhandener Arbeitslosigkeit den Effekt von Lockdowns auf die Entwicklung der Arbeitslosigkeit und die damit verbundenen gesundheitlichen Schäden schätzen.
  • Nachzulesen: https://sciencefiles.org/2021/01/19/folgen-des-lockdown-sinkende-lebenserwartung-und-ubersterblichkeit-auf-jahrzente-hinaus-vor-allem-fur-mannerneue-studie/

  1. Jackson, Sarah E. et al. (2021). Moderators of Change in Smoking, Drinking, and Quitting Behaviour Associated with the First COVID-19 Lockdown in England. medRxiv.
  • Risiko-Trinker haben im Lockdown erheblich zugenommen. Ein Pluss von 39,5% durch alle Altersgruppen ist zu verzeichnen.
  • Vor allem Frauen werden zu Risiko-Trinkern im Lockdown. Während sich der Anteil der Männer, die zu saufen begonnen haben, um 30,7% im Lockdown und im Vergleich zur Zeit vor dem Lockdown erhöht hat, hat sich der Anteil der Frauen um 55,4% erhöht. Nun gibt es unter den Risikotrinkern mehr Männer als Frauen, aber der Lockdown führt dazu, dass Frauen aufholen…
  • METHODE: Analyse der Daten aus einer monatliche Befragung von rund 1.700 Erwachsenen, die in England durchgeführt wird, und in der Befragte zu ihren Alkoholkonsum, ihr Rauchverhalten und Versuche, sich beides, das Trinken und das Rauchen ggf. abzugewöhnen, befragt werden. Mit enthalten in der Befragung ist ein Alocohol-Disorder Identification Test, der sogenannte AUDIT-Test, der im Vereinigten Königreich umfangreich eingesetzt wird
  • Nachzulesen: https://sciencefiles.org/2021/02/20/lockdown-saufen-ein-dilemma-fur-die-gutmenschen-die-uns-derzeit-retten-wollen/

  1. Tortea, Thiago C. et al. (2020). The Impact of Infectious Disease-Related Public Health Emergencies on Suicide, Suicidal Behavior, and Suicidal Thoughts. A Systematic Review.
    Nomura, Shuhei (2021). Trends in suicide in Japan by gender during the COVID-19 pandemic, up to September 2020. Psychiatry Research.
    Sakamoto, Haruka et al. (2021). Assessment of Suicide in Japan During the COVID-19 Pandemic vs. Previous Years.Psychiatry.
  • Drei Studien, die mit unterschiedlicher Vorgehensweise zu den selben Ergebnissen für Japan kommen:
  • Die Intensität der Maßnahmen gegen eine Epidemie hat einen Einfluss auf die Anzahl der Selbstmorde. Je rigider die Maßnahmen, desto höher die Anzahl der Selbstmorde (Tortea et al., 2020)
  • In den Monaten Juli bis September 2020 gibt es eine „Über-Suizidalität“ bei Frauen in Japan (Nomura et al., 2021).
  • In den Monaten Oktober und November 2020 gibt es eine „Über-Suizidalität“ bei Männern in Japan (Sakamoto et al., 2021).
  • Es ist kaum zu erwarten, dass diese Ergebnisse nur für Japan gelten. In Japan sind indes die Daten zu Selbstmord monatsaktuell, ganz im Gegensatz zu Deutschland, wo diese Daten erst mit Jahren Verspätung veröffentlicht werden.
  • METHODE: Berechnung von Übersterblichkeit auf Grundlage tatsächlicher Mortalität;
  • Nachzulesen: https://sciencefiles.org/2021/02/07/mehr-selbstmorde-wegen-covid-19-masnahmen-die-zahl-der-studien-die-das-belegen-wachst/

  1. ILO Monitor (2021). COVID-19 and the world of work. Seventh edition Updated estimates and analysis;
  • Aufstellung der ökonomischen Kosten der Lockdowns weltweit:
  • 8,8% der weltweit geleisteten Arbeitsstunden sind im Jahr 2020 (im Vergleich zu 2019) verloren gegangen. Das entspricht 255 Millionen 48-Stunden-Wochenarbeitsplätzen, die verloren gegangen sind.
  • 114 Millionen der verlorenen Arbeitsstunden sind endgültige Verluste, die die ILO in Arbeitslosigkeit (33 Millionen) und Inaktivität (81 Millionen) unterscheidet. Das Heer der 81 Millionen Inaktiven setzt sich aus Personen zusammen, die keinen Arbeitsplatz mehr suchen, nicht weil sie nicht mehr erwerbsfähig wären, sondern weil sie aufgrund von Lockdown-Regelungen daran gehindert werden, einen Arbeitsplatz zu suchen oder generell die Wahrscheinlichkeit, derzeit einen Arbeitsplatz zu finden, für sehr gering ansehen und deshalb gar nicht mehr suchen
  • 50 % der verlorenen Arbeitsstunden gehen auf diejenigen zurück, die nicht arbeiten, aber auch nicht entlassen wurden, die Angehörigen nicht essentieller Berufe, die von ihren Regierungen dafür bezahlt werden, nichts zu tun und sich von den Angehörigen essentieller Berufe versorgen zu lassen;
  • 3.700.000.000.000 US-Dollar sind 2020 durch Lockdown-Maßnahmen verloren gegangen. 3,7 Billionen US-Dollar.

  1. Übersterblichkeit:

  1. Lockdown Kosten und Lockdown Nutzen
    Die Lockdown-Fanatiker interessieren sich in der Regel nur für den Nutzen des Lockdowns, dessen Existenz sie sich eingeredet haben, nicht jedoch für die Kosten dieses Lockdowns. Die folgenden Studien haben sich mit dem Verhältnis von Kosten und Nutzen eines Lockdowns befasst:
  • Frijters P, Krekel C. (2020). “Chapter 5: Applying wellbeing insights to existing policy evaluations and appraisals”. In: Frijters P, Krekel C, (eds). A handbook for Wellbeing Policy-Making: history, theory, measurement, implementation, and examples. London: Oxford University Press (2020).
    Fritjers und Krekel schätzen, dass die IFR [Infection Fatality Rate], die die Kosten der derzeitigen Lockdowns rechtfertigen würde, 7,8% betragen müsste, und somit das 33fache der derzeitigen IFR.
  • Foster G. (2020). Cost-benefit analysis executive summary.Presented to Victorian Parliament in Australia.
  • Foster G. (2020). Early estimates of the impact of COVID-19 disruptions on jobs, wages, and lifetime earnings of schoolchildren in Australia. Australian J Labour Economics (2020) 23(2):129-151.
    Foster kommt für Australien zu dem Ergebnis, dass die Kosten des Lockdown dessen Nutzen um das 6,6fache übersteigen.
  • Miles D, Stedman M, Heald A.(2020). Living with Covid-19: balancing costs against benefits in the face of the virus. National Institute Economic Review 253:R60-R76
    Miles, Stedman und Heald schreiben für das Vereinigte Königreich, dass der Nutzen, der davon ausgeht, den Lockdown zu beenden, den Nutzen, der vom Lockdown ausgeht, um das 7,3 bis 14,6fache übersteigt.
  • Cutler DM, Summer LH. (2020). The COVID-19 pandemic and the $16 Trillion virus.Journal of the American Medical Association 324(15):1495-1496.
    Cutler und Summer zeigen für Neuseeland [!sic], dass die Kosten des Lockdowns um das 97,9fache höher waren als der Nutzen.

Ein graphisches Beispiel dafür, das Lockdowns nichts bringen. Verglichen werden in der folgenden Abbildung North- und South-Dakota. Beide Staaten grenzen aneinander (so wie man es anhand der Bezeichung erwarten würde). In North Dakota gab es einen Lockdown, in South Dakota gab es zu keinem Zeitpunkt einen Lockdown.


Es geht schon lange nicht mehr darum, der “Wissenschaft zu folgen”, auch wenn manche Politdarsteller, allen voran Karl Lauterbach, das weiterhin behaupten. Ginge es darum, der Wissenschaft zu folgen, es gäbe keinen Lockdown. Damit die Botschaft, dass Lockdowns keinerlei positiven Effekt zur Bekämpfung von SARS-CoV-2 beitragen, dass sie die Epidemie in die Länge ziehen, dadurch die Anzahl der COVID-19 Toten, weil das Erreichen von Herdenimmunität hinausgezögert wird, erhöhen, dass sie wirtschaftliche Schäden anrichten, die nicht überschaubar sind, dass sie die Arbeitslosigkeit erhöhen und über die Arbeitslosigkeit zu mehr Erkrankungen und einer verkürzten Lebenserwartung führen, dass sie mit einer Vielzahl von Kollateral-Toten verbunden sind, die die Anzahl der “Geretteten” um ein Vielfaches übersteigt, dass, mit einem Wort, Lockdowns dem Versuch gleichkommen, eine Ernte, die durch Schädlingsbefall vernichtet zu werden droht, dadurch zu retten, dass man das gesamte befallene Feld und alle angrenzenden Felder in Brand steckt.

Verbreiten Sie die Information. Posten Sie den Link zu diesem Beitrag und laden Sie sich diesen Beitrag als PDF herunter:



Anregungen, Hinweise, Kontakt? Redaktion @ sciencefiles.org


Seit Ende Januar 2020 besprechen wir Studien zu SARS-CoV-2. Damit gehören wir zu den wenigen, die das neue Coronavirus seit seinem Auftauchen verfolgt und den Niederschlag, den es in wissenschaftlichen Beiträgen gefunden hat, begleitet haben.
Eine Liste aller Texte, die wir zu SARS-CoV-2 veröffentlicht haben, finden Sie hier.

Endspiel Deutschland gegen sich selbst

“Also wählen die Leute wie Lemminge die Enteignung ihrer Ersparnisse, die Abschaffung ihrer Autos, das Ende ihrer Einfamilienhäuschen, die Rationierung ihres Stroms und die Abschaffung ihrer verbrieften Rechte.” schreibt Manfred Haferburg, einer, der die DDR-Diktatur sprichwörtlich am eigenen Leib durchlitten hat, auf der “Achse des Guten”. Recht hat er, leider, wieder einmal wählen die “allerdümmsten Kälber ihren Schachter selber” – TB

Gib niemals auf – Bilanz eines Ossis im 16. Jahr Merkel

Ich bin und bleibe ein Ossi, ob ich will oder nicht. Ich bin in die DDR hineingeboren worden, ohne es mir aussuchen zu können. Ein halbes Leben, bis Ende 1989, sehnte ich mich nach Freiheit. Ich ging für diese Sehnsucht nach Freiheit ins Gefängnis. Mein Wunsch nach Freiheit hätte mich fast das Leben gekostet. Dann kam die Wende. Eine „echte Wende“, vom Volk gewollt und unter Risiko für Leib und Leben eingeleitet. Wie war ich glücklich und froh, endlich frei zu sein. Wie war ich beseelt, mir endlich eine Weltanschauung erwerben zu können, indem ich plötzlich die Freiheit hatte, mir die Welt anzuschauen. Freiheit wurde mein höchstes Gut.

Dann kam die Ossi-Frau Dr. Angela Merkel an die Macht und leitete leise und unauffällig eine Vielzahl neuer Wenden ein, die an der Freiheit nagten. Viele klein und kaum bemerkt, einige groß und verheerend. Und die Saat, die sie säte, fand einen fruchtbaren Boden vor, am fruchtbarsten in den alten Bundesländern. Mein Ossi-Unterbewusstsein witterte bald Gefahr. Doch ich wollte es nicht wahrhaben. Denn ich bewunderte die mächtige Ossi-Frau am Anfang noch.

Aber weil der Mensch nun mal nicht Herr im eigenen Hause ist, trieb mich mein Unterbewusstsein weg aus Deutschland, nach Frankreich. Hier lebe ich seit 20 Jahren und habe gelernt: Es ist auch hier wahrlich nicht alles Gold, was glänzt. Aber aus der Distanz beobachte ich mehr und mehr erschüttert, was in meinem Vaterland vor sich geht. Hochmut, Gigantomanie und Inkompetenz haben sich in Deutschland die Demokratie unter den Nagel gerissen. Das Klima ist zur Religion geworden und die politischen Machthaber zu ihren Sektenführern. Das größte Parlament der Welt – bezogen auf die Bevölkerungszahl viermal so groß wie der chinesische Volkskongress – degeneriert zur Quasselbude, wo die Opposition zusammen mit der Regierung gegen die Opposition opponiert und unterhalb des Radars der Öffentlichkeit eine demokratie-erodierende Entscheidung nach der anderen zum Nachteil der Deutschen durchwinkt. Zum Einstieg in die europäischen Schuldenunion brauchte der Bundestag gerade mal 38 Minuten „Diskussion“.

Die Deutschen, ein zutiefst gespaltener Haufen

Ein Großteil des Journalismus ist zur Hofberichterstattung verkommen. Aus dem stolzen „Sturmgeschütz der Demokratie“ wurde eine Gulaschkanone Merkels. Edle Kirchenfürsten werden zu Hofschranzen des heidnischen Zeitgeistes. Sie legen feige die Kreuze ab, sie schänden wehrlose Ministranten und dienen sich der Regierung für Geld an. Viele Wissenschaftler werden zu willfährigen Scharlatanen, die vieles wirklich besser wüssten, wäre da nicht das dringend benötigte Fördergeld und die kleine Chance auf das Konterfei auf dem Titelblatt. Der einstige Volksfreund und Helfer, die Polizei, wird zum übergriffigen Büttel degradiert, enteiert, kaputtgespart und macht sich lächerlich. 

Und das deutsche Volk erst! Das Volk! Ich fasse es nicht. Es wurde zu einem zutiefst gespaltenen Haufen. „Wir sind mehr“-Linke gegen zu Nazis ernannte Konservative, #metoo-Emanzen gegen „alte weiße Männer“, Neider gegen Reiche, Zensoren gegen Andersmeinende, Radfahrer gegen SUV-Fahrer, Corona-Ängstliche gegen Querdenker, Denunzianten gegen Nachbarn…  Zu viele sind bereit, sich gegenseitig an die Gurgel zu gehen. Die Spaltung führt die zerrissene Gesellschaft mehr und mehr in einen schwelenden Bürgerkrieg.

Es ist zu spät. Wahlen können nichts mehr bewirken. In der DDR nannten wir Wahlen auch Falten. Weil der Zettel nicht durch den Schlitz der Urne passte, musste er mittig einmal gefaltet werden. Das war die eigentliche Wahlhandlung. Anzukreuzen gab es bei der sozialistischen Einheitsfront nichts mehr, es standen ja schon alle Mächtigen drauf. Heute wagen es nur Wenige, die einzige Alternative zur sozialistischen Einheitsfront zu wählen, zu wirksam ist das Stigma.

Also wählen die Leute wie Lemminge die Enteignung ihrer Ersparnisse, die Abschaffung ihrer Autos, das Ende ihrer Einfamilienhäuschen, die Rationierung ihres Stroms und die Abschaffung ihrer verbrieften Rechte. Und es ist völlig egal, ob sie schwarz, grün, rot, dunkelrot oder gelb wählen, sie bekommen Merkel und ihre Wiedergänger.

Die Aufklärung wird in Deutschland gerade wieder überwunden

Man kann Angst bekommen vor einer deutschen Gründlichkeit, die besonders das Falsche so gründlich macht. Die Deutschen wissen mal wieder, was gut für die Welt ist. Die Aufklärung wird in Deutschland gerade wieder überwunden. Es geht mit großen Schritten zurück in Richtung Mittelalter. Ein Virus wird hysterisch mit mittelalterlichen Mitteln bekämpft, wie einst Pestilenz und Aussatz bekämpft wurden – durch Isolation und Einschluss in eine Wohn-Haft. Der Infektion verdächtigte Bürger werden zu isolierten Aussätzigen.

Und wer seinen Menschenverstand benutzt, wenn auch nur, um das Offensichtliche zu denken, der wird als Klima- oder Corona- oder was-weiß-ich-Leugner etikettiert, von sich als Ankläger, Richter und Henker aufführenden Ideologen „Rechtsradikaler“ genannt und an einen Pranger gestellt. Der Pranger ist heute nicht mehr ein Brett mit drei Löchern für Hals und Arme, sondern eine hysterische Öffentlichkeit, die den Etikettierten mit einem wörtlich übersetzt „Scheißesturm“ überzieht.

Ist der fäkale geistige Unrat vorübergezogen, dann bleibt der Bedauernswerte als stinkender Aussätziger gebrandmarkt, und seine Existenz wird systematisch vernichtet. Internet und Medien als mittelalterlicher Scheiterhaufen, auf dem „Sünder“ und „Leugner“ symbolisch verbrannt werden. Die dabei benutzte Etikettierungs-Terminologie ist entlarvend und ohne jeden Respekt: Leugner, Sünder, Muffel, Querdenker, Idiot, Verschwörungstheoretiker…

Vielen Politikern mangelt es an Bildung, Geschmack und Stil. Dafür mangelt es ihnen nicht an Selbstüberschätzung. Sie haben Visionen, aber keine Zukunft. Sie zerstören, weil es so unendlich viel einfacher ist, zu zerstören, als aufzubauen. Sie verhunzen die deutsche Sprache mit Gendersternchen, gekünstelten Sprechpausen, Binnen-Großschreibung, um den Leuten einzureden, dass es keine Weiblein und Männlein gibt. Dies tun diejenigen, die gleichzeitig Quoten für die Weiblein fordern.

Sie verhunzen unser freundliches Lächeln mit Stofffetzen. Die Windel vor der Nase dient nur einem Zweck: unsere Unterwerfung unter ihre Allmachtsfantasie öffentlich zu signalisieren. Die Maske dient dazu, die Gehorsamen von den Rebellen zu trennen, wie einst der Geßler-Hut auf der Stange. Was in der DDR das Parteiabzeichen am Revers war, ist heute der Kaffeefilter im Gesicht. Peter Altmaier, Helge Braun und Angela Merkel wollen, dass solche Seuchenlappen das neue Normal werden. Diese Gespensterbahn meint, die Ausbreitung eines Virus oder das Klima im Jahre 2100 kontrollieren zu können. Doch wie viele im schwarz-roten Gruselkabinett haben sie nicht mal ihren eigenen Leibesumfang unter Kontrolle.

Ossi-Frust über die unendliche Schafsgeduld vieler Wessis

Die Eiskunstläuferin Katarina Witt war einst das schönste Gesicht des DDR-Sozialismus. Auf Facebook bringt sie die Meinung vieler Ossis auf den Punkt: „Die Ähnlichkeit ist verblüffend, was man im Namen „zum Wohle des Volkes“ so kollektiv, früher im Sozialismus und gegenwärtig im Kapitalismus, in so kleinem Kreise einfach durchsetzen kann! Ich mag es gar nicht aussprechen, aber ein kleines Teufelchen auf meiner Schulter flüstert mir fast schelmisch ins Ohr – „Willkommen zurück in der DDR“. Es ist für mich nicht der geringste Triumph, feststellen zu müssen, dass ganz Deutschland ein Jahr lang, mal einen Hauch davon verspürt, wie es ist, von einer Handvoll Regierungsmitgliedern bestimmt, gelenkt und beeinflusst zu werden.“ 

Da schwingt ein leiser Ossi-Frust über die nicht enden wollende Schafsgeduld vieler Wessis gegenüber der Einschränkung der Freiheitsrechte und der Unfähigkeit der Merkel-Entourage mit. Mich bewegen ähnliche Gefühle.

Wenn ich mich frage, was die Ossi-Frau Merkel dazu bewegt, mit solcher Verbissenheit die Karre an die Wand zu fahren, kommen mir seltsame Ideen. Sie, die brillante Machtstrategin, ist mindestens seit zehn Jahren in der falschen Partei und will zu guter Letzt dieser Partei ihres Herzens zum Sieg verhelfen. Das wäre auch eine süße kleine Rache an all den unfähigen Hofschranzen von der CDU. Vielleicht will sie sogar der Herrin der Kobolde den Weg zu ihrem freiwerdenden Kanzlersessel ebnen. Denn dann kann sie sich beobachtend zurücklehnen und den Deutschen schelmisch lächelnd sagen: „Seht Ihr, das habt Ihr nun davon. Jetzt sehnt Ihr Euch nach mir zurück“.

Noch ein Nachtrag. Mein Lieblingsgesundheitsexperte, der „talking dead“ von der SPD, sucht publikumswirksam eine neue Liebe. Er bedauert aber, durch seinen unermüdlichen Einsatz zur Rettung der Bevölkerung vor dem Corona-Tod nicht genügend Zeit zu haben. Ich hätte da vielleicht eine hilfreiche Idee: Er kann ja mal bei Norbert Walter-Borjans nachfragen, ob der ihm seinen Platz in der Doppelspitze der SPD überlässt. Vielleicht kommt dann ja die Liebe ganz von selbst. Auch rein optisch würde es hervorragend passen.Foto:

There Is No Such Thing as “White” Math

Nun wachen sie auf, die universitären Naturwissenschafler, vermutlich zu spät. Der amerikanische Top-Mathematiker Sergiu Klainerman stellt sich klar gegen den “woken” Angriff auf die Mathematik. Die unabhängige Journalistin Bari Weiss veröffentlicht seine Stellungnahme. – TB

There Is No Such Thing as “White” Math

I naively believed that STEM would be spared from the ideological takeover. I was wrong, says Princeton professor Sergiu Klainerman.

I am not at all qualified to introduce today’s guest writer, Sergiu Klainerman. 
I barely eked out a C+ in high school calculus, while Sergiu is a professor of mathematics at Princeton who specializes in the mathematical theory of black holes. He’s been a MacArthur fellow, a Guggenheim fellow and is a member of the National Academy of Sciences 
Mathematics allowed a young Sergiu, who came of age in Ceausescu’s Romania, to escape to a world where right and wrong couldn’t be fudged, and, ultimately, to a life of freedom in the United States. Without math, his life quite literally would not have been possible. 
In the piece below he explains how activists are destroying his discipline in the name of progress. Worse, they are robbing poor children of the opportunity to raise themselves up by mastering it — with untold effects on all of us. 
Math, with its seemingly unbiased tools — 2 + 2 always equals 4 — has presented a problem for an ideological movement that sees any inequality of outcome as evidence of systemic bias. The problem cannot be that some kids are better at math, or that some teachers are better at teaching it. Like so much else, the basic woke argument against math is that it is inherently racist and needs to be made antiracist. That is accomplished by undermining the notion of right and wrong answers, by getting rid of the expectation that students show their work, by referring to mathematical testing tools as racist, and by doing away with accelerated math classes. 
If that sounds like a caricature, I urge you to read this whole document, funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which Sergiu writes about below. As the linguist John McWhorter put it in a powerful piece published yesterday: “to distrust this document is not to be against social justice, but against racism.” 
Sergiu wrote me in an email that the situation in his field reminds him of this line from Thomas Sowell: “Ours may become the first civilization destroyed, not by the power of enemies, but by the ignorance of our teachers and the dangerous nonsense they are teaching our children. In an age of artificial intelligence, they are creating artificial stupidity.” This week, as promised, is education week. Like Shark Week! But dorkier. And, I hope, far more important. This is our first installment. 
I’m pleased to publish Sergiu Klainerman:
Sergiu KlainermanMar 1236119(A student raises her hand with an answer for a math question inside a first grade class in Fall River, MA on Nov. 23, 2020. (Photo by Jessica Rinaldi/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)I am not at all qualified to introduce today’s guest writer, Sergiu Klainerman. I barely eked out a C+ in high school calculus, while Sergiu is a professor of mathematics at Princeton who specializes in the mathematical theory of black holes. He’s been a MacArthur fellow, a Guggenheim fellow and is a member of the National Academy of Sciences Mathematics allowed a young Sergiu, who came of age in Ceausescu’s Romania, to escape to a world where right and wrong couldn’t be fudged, and, ultimately, to a life of freedom in the United States. Without math, his life quite literally would not have been possible. In the piece below he explains how activists are destroying his discipline in the name of progress. Worse, they are robbing poor children of the opportunity to raise themselves up by mastering it — with untold effects on all of us. Math, with its seemingly unbiased tools — 2 + 2 always equals 4 — has presented a problem for an ideological movement that sees any inequality of outcome as evidence of systemic bias. The problem cannot be that some kids are better at math, or that some teachers are better at teaching it. Like so much else, the basic woke argument against math is that it is inherently racist and needs to be made antiracist. That is accomplished by undermining the notion of right and wrong answers, by getting rid of the expectation that students show their work, by referring to mathematical testing tools as racist, and by doing away with accelerated math classes. If that sounds like a caricature, I urge you to read this whole document, funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which Sergiu writes about below. As the linguist John McWhorter put it in a powerful piece published yesterday: “to distrust this document is not to be against social justice, but against racism.” Sergiu wrote me in an email that the situation in his field reminds him of this line from Thomas Sowell: “Ours may become the first civilization destroyed, not by the power of enemies, but by the ignorance of our teachers and the dangerous nonsense they are teaching our children. In an age of artificial intelligence, they are creating artificial stupidity.”SubscribeThis week, as promised, is education week. Like Shark Week! But dorkier. And, I hope, far more important. This is our first installment. I’m pleased to publish Sergiu Klainerman:In my position as a professor of mathematics at Princeton, I have witnessed the decline of universities and cultural institutions as they have embraced political ideology at the expense of rigorous scholarship. Until recently — this past summer, really — I had naively thought that the STEM disciplines would be spared from this ideological takeover. I was wrong. Attempts to “deconstruct” mathematics, deny its objectivity, accuse it of racial bias, and infuse it with political ideology have become more and more common — perhaps, even, at your child’s elementary school.This phenomenon is part of what has been dubbed “The Great Awokening.” As others have explained powerfully, the ideology incubated in academia, where it indoctrinated plenty of bright minds. It then migrated, through those true believers, into our important cultural, religious and political institutions. Now it is affecting some of the country’s most prominent businesses. Unlike the traditional totalitarianism practiced by former communist countries, like the Romania I grew up in, this version is soft. It enforces its ideology not by jailing dissenters or physically eliminating them, but by social shaming, mob punishment, guilt by association, and coerced speech. When it comes to education, I believe the woke ideology is even more harmful than old-fashioned communism.Communism had a strong sense of objective reality anchored in the belief that humans are capable of discovering universal truths. It forcefully asserted, in fact, the absolute truth of dialectic materialism, as revealed by its founders Marx, Engels and Lenin. Communist ideology held science and mathematics in the highest regard, even though it often distorted the former for doctrinal reasons.  Mathematics was largely immune to ideological pressure, and thus thrived in most communist countries. Being skilled in math was a source of great societal prestige for school children. And it was a great equalizer: those from socioeconomically disadvantaged families had a chance to compete on equal footing with those from privileged ones.Like children all over the world, I was attracted to mathematics because of its formal beauty, the elegance and precision of its arguments, and the unique sense of achievement I was able to get by finding the right answer to a difficult problem. Mathematics also granted me an escape from the intoxicating daily drum of party propaganda — a refuge from the crushing atmosphere of political and ideological conformity. The woke ideology, on the other hand, treats both science and mathematics as social constructs and condemns the way they are practiced, in research and teaching, as manifestations of white supremacy, euro-centrism, and post-colonialism.Take for example the recent educational program called “a pathway to equitable math instruction.” The program is backed financially by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; it counts among its partners the Lawrence Hall of Science at UC Berkeley, the California Math project, the Association of California School Administrators, and the Los Angeles County Office of Education, among others; and it was recently sent to Oregon teachers by the state’s Department of Education. The program argues that “white supremacy culture shows up in the classroom when the focus is on getting the ‘right’ answer” or when students are required to show their work, while stipulating that the very “concept of mathematics being purely objective is unequivocally false”. The main goal of the program is “to dismantle racism in mathematics instruction” with the expressly political aim of engaging “the sociopolitical turn in all aspects of education, including mathematics.”In the past, I would have said that such statements should be ignored as too radical and absurd to merit refutation. But recent trends across the country suggest that we no longer have that luxury.So let me state the following for the record: Nothing in the history and current practice of mathematics justifies the notion that it is in any way different or dependent on the particular race or ethnic group engaged in it.For historical reasons, we often discuss contributions to the field of mathematics from the Egyptians, Babylonians, Greeks, Chinese, Indians and Arabs and refer to them as distinct entities. They have all contributed through a unique cultural dialogue to the creation of a truly magnificent edifice accessible today to every man and woman on the planet. Though we pay tribute to great historical figures who inform the practice of mathematics, the subject can be taught — and often is — with no reference to the individuals who have contributed to it. In that sense it is uniquely universal. Schools throughout the world teach the same basic body of mathematics. They differ only by the methodology and intensity with which they instruct students. It is precisely this universality of math — together with the extraordinary ability of American universities to reward hard work and talent — that allowed me, and so many other young scientists and mathematicians, to come to this country and achieve success beyond our wildest dreams. The idea that focusing on getting the “right answer” is now considered among some self-described progressives a form of bias or racism is offensive and extraordinarily dangerous. The entire study of mathematics is based on clearly formulated definitions and statements of fact. If this were not so, bridges would collapse, planes would fall from the sky, and bank transactions would be impossible.The ability of mathematics to provide right answers to well-formulated problems is not something specific to one culture or another; it is really the essence of mathematics. To claim otherwise is to argue that somehow the math taught in places like Iran, China, India or Nigeria is not genuinely theirs but borrowed or forged from “white supremacy culture.” It is hard to imagine a more ignorant and offensive statement. Finally, and most importantly, the woke approach to mathematics is particularly poisonous to those it pretends to want to help. Let’s start with the reasonable assumption that mathematical talent is equally distributed at birth to children from all socio-economic backgrounds, independent of ethnicity, sex and race. Those born in poor, uneducated families have clear educational disadvantages relative to others. But mathematics can act as a powerful equalizer. Through its set of well-defined, culturally unbiased, unambiguous set of rules, mathematics gives smart kids the potential to be, at least in this respect, on equal footing with all others. They can stand out by simply finding the right answers to questions with objective results. There is no such thing as “white” mathematics. There is no reason to assume, as the activists do, that minority kids are not capable of mathematics or of finding the “right answers.” And there can be no justification for, in the name of “equity” or anything else, depriving students of the rigorous education that they need to succeed. The real antiracists will stand up and oppose this nonsense.

In my position as a professor of mathematics at Princeton, I have witnessed the decline of universities and cultural institutions as they have embraced political ideology at the expense of rigorous scholarship. Until recently — this past summer, really — I had naively thought that the STEM disciplines would be spared from this ideological takeover. 

I was wrong. Attempts to “deconstruct” mathematics, deny its objectivity, accuse it of racial bias, and infuse it with political ideology have become more and more common — perhaps, even, at your child’s elementary school.

This phenomenon is part of what has been dubbed “The Great Awokening.” As others have explained powerfully, the ideology incubated in academia, where it indoctrinated plenty of bright minds. It then migrated, through those true believers, into our important cultural, religious and political institutions. Now it is affecting some of the country’s most prominent businesses. 

Unlike the traditional totalitarianism practiced by former communist countries, like the Romania I grew up in, this version is soft. It enforces its ideology not by jailing dissenters or physically eliminating them, but by social shaming, mob punishment, guilt by association, and coerced speech. 

When it comes to education, I believe the woke ideology is even more harmful than old-fashioned communism.

Communism had a strong sense of objective reality anchored in the belief that humans are capable of discovering universal truths. It forcefully asserted, in fact, the absolute truth of dialectic materialism, as revealed by its founders Marx, Engels and Lenin. Communist ideology held science and mathematics in the highest regard, even though it often distorted the former for doctrinal reasons.  

Mathematics was largely immune to ideological pressure, and thus thrived in most communist countries. Being skilled in math was a source of great societal prestige for school children. And it was a great equalizer: those from socioeconomically disadvantaged families had a chance to compete on equal footing with those from privileged ones.

Like children all over the world, I was attracted to mathematics because of its formal beauty, the elegance and precision of its arguments, and the unique sense of achievement I was able to get by finding the right answer to a difficult problem. Mathematics also granted me an escape from the intoxicating daily drum of party propaganda — a refuge from the crushing atmosphere of political and ideological conformity. 

The woke ideology, on the other hand, treats both science and mathematics as social constructs and condemns the way they are practiced, in research and teaching, as manifestations of white supremacy, euro-centrism, and post-colonialism.

Take for example the recent educational program called “a pathway to equitable math instruction.” The program is backed financially by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; it counts among its partners the Lawrence Hall of Science at UC Berkeley, the California Math project, the Association of California School Administrators, and the Los Angeles County Office of Education, among others; and it was recently sent to Oregon teachers by the state’s Department of Education. 

The program argues that “white supremacy culture shows up in the classroom when the focus is on getting the ‘right’ answer” or when students are required to show their work, while stipulating that the very “concept of mathematics being purely objective is unequivocally false”. The main goal of the program is “to dismantle racism in mathematics instruction” with the expressly political aim of engaging “the sociopolitical turn in all aspects of education, including mathematics.”

In the past, I would have said that such statements should be ignored as too radical and absurd to merit refutation. But recent trends across the country suggest that we no longer have that luxury.

So let me state the following for the record: Nothing in the history and current practice of mathematics justifies the notion that it is in any way different or dependent on the particular race or ethnic group engaged in it.

For historical reasons, we often discuss contributions to the field of mathematics from the Egyptians, Babylonians, Greeks, Chinese, Indians and Arabs and refer to them as distinct entities. They have all contributed through a unique cultural dialogue to the creation of a truly magnificent edifice accessible today to every man and woman on the planet. Though we pay tribute to great historical figures who inform the practice of mathematics, the subject can be taught — and often is — with no reference to the individuals who have contributed to it. In that sense it is uniquely universal. 

Schools throughout the world teach the same basic body of mathematics. They differ only by the methodology and intensity with which they instruct students. 

It is precisely this universality of math — together with the extraordinary ability of American universities to reward hard work and talent — that allowed me, and so many other young scientists and mathematicians, to come to this country and achieve success beyond our wildest dreams. 

The idea that focusing on getting the “right answer” is now considered among some self-described progressives a form of bias or racism is offensive and extraordinarily dangerous. The entire study of mathematics is based on clearly formulated definitions and statements of fact. If this were not so, bridges would collapse, planes would fall from the sky, and bank transactions would be impossible.

The ability of mathematics to provide right answers to well-formulated problems is not something specific to one culture or another; it is really the essence of mathematics. To claim otherwise is to argue that somehow the math taught in places like Iran, China, India or Nigeria is not genuinely theirs but borrowed or forged from “white supremacy culture.” It is hard to imagine a more ignorant and offensive statement. 

Finally, and most importantly, the woke approach to mathematics is particularly poisonous to those it pretends to want to help. Let’s start with the reasonable assumption that mathematical talent is equally distributed at birth to children from all socio-economic backgrounds, independent of ethnicity, sex and race. Those born in poor, uneducated families have clear educational disadvantages relative to others. But mathematics can act as a powerful equalizer. Through its set of well-defined, culturally unbiased, unambiguous set of rules, mathematics gives smart kids the potential to be, at least in this respect, on equal footing with all others. They can stand out by simply finding the right answers to questions with objective results. 

There is no such thing as “white” mathematics. There is no reason to assume, as the activists do, that minority kids are not capable of mathematics or of finding the “right answers.” And there can be no justification for, in the name of “equity” or anything else, depriving students of the rigorous education that they need to succeed. The real antiracists will stand up and oppose this nonsense.

Durch Verblödung in den Untergang.

Wenn man die westliche Zivilisation nachhaltig zerstören will, muss man bei den Kindern anfangen. Ziehe eine Generation heran, die weder ordentlich lesen, schreiben, rechnen oder gar denken kann, dann bekommst Du auch bald eine technisch-logistische Struktur, die diesem Niveau entspricht. In den USA – im Staate Oregon – geht die “woke” Avantgarde schon mal voran und “dekonstruiert den Rassismus in der Mathematik” – TB

Den gesamten Text findet man hier.

Ein Kommentar dazu von Ulrike Stockmann auf der Achse des Guten hier.